At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
289.2
▼ L5 255.0
Pass TD/g
2.38
▼ L5 2.20
Comp/g
23.9
▼ L5 22.4
Att/g
35.3
▼ L5 32.6
INT/g
0.95
▲ L5 1.60
Rush yds/g
4.0
▼ L5 0.8
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 95% | 80% | 100% | 91% |
| 224.5 | 90% | 80% | 90% | 91% |
| 249.5 | 76% | 40% | 70% | 82% |
| 274.5 | 71% | 40% | 70% | 73% |
| 299.5 | 43% | 20% | 40% | 45% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 81% | 80% | 90% | 73% |
| 2.5 | 48% | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 0% | 10% | 9% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 95% | 100% | 90% | 100% |
| 19.5 | 90% | 100% | 90% | 91% |
| 21.5 | 62% | 40% | 60% | 64% |
| 23.5 | 52% | 20% | 60% | 45% |
| 25.5 | 48% | 20% | 60% | 36% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 62% | 80% | 50% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 60% | 20% | 36% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
12.6
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
288.8
10 g
Away
289.6
11 g
In wins
294.8
16 g
In losses
271.4
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs ARI | W 34-11 | +4 | 49.5 | 13 | 17 | 202 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 178 | 12.5 |
| 20* | @ TB | W 30-27 | -2.5 | 48 | 28 | 38 | 366 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 297 | 17.4 |
| 21* | vs SF | W 20-17 | +3.5 | 45.5 | 31 | 45 | 337 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 396 | 13.1 |
| 22* | @ CIN | W 23-20 | +4.5 | 48.5 | 26 | 40 | 283 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 331 | 6.1 |
| 1 | vs CHI | W 34-14 | +9.5 | 46 | 20 | 26 | 321 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 228 | 18.8 |
| 2 | @ IND | W 27-24 | +4 | 48 | 19 | 30 | 278 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 218 | 11.9 |
| 3 | vs TB | W 34-24 | -1 | 55 | 27 | 38 | 343 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 359 | 17.7 |
| 4 | vs ARI | L 20-37 | +3.5 | 53.5 | 26 | 41 | 280 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 354 | 2.4 |
| 5 | @ SEA | W 26-17 | +2.5 | 53.5 | 25 | 37 | 365 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 469 | 14.1 |
| 6 | @ NYG | W 38-11 | +7.5 | 49.5 | 22 | 28 | 251 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 216 | 18.6 |
| 7 | vs DET | W 28-19 | +17 | 51 | 28 | 41 | 334 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 383 | 14.0 |
| 8 | @ HOU | W 38-22 | +17 | 47 | 21 | 32 | 305 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 218 | 16.2 |
| 9 | vs TEN | L 16-28 | +7 | 53.5 | 31 | 48 | 294 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 244 | -20.0 |
| 10 | @ SF | L 10-31 | +3.5 | 50 | 26 | 41 | 243 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 340 | -8.8 |
| 12 | @ GB | L 28-36 | +2 | 47 | 21 | 38 | 302 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 408 | -3.4 |
| 13 | vs JAX | W 37-7 | +14 | 48 | 26 | 38 | 295 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 353 | 13.0 |
| 14 | @ ARI | W 30-23 | -3 | 51 | 23 | 30 | 287 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 250 | 14.5 |
| 15 | vs SEA | W 20-10 | +7.5 | 47 | 21 | 29 | 244 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 230 | -2.4 |
| 16 | @ MIN | W 30-23 | +3.5 | 48.5 | 21 | 37 | 197 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 297 | -9.8 |
| 17 | @ BAL | W 20-19 | +7 | 47 | 26 | 35 | 309 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 249 | 7.0 |
| 18 | vs SF | L 24-27 | +3 | 46.5 | 21 | 32 | 238 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 278 | 12.6 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).