At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
270.8
▲ L5 295.2
Pass TD/g
1.63
▲ L5 2.20
Comp/g
21.9
▲ L5 23.6
Att/g
34.8
▲ L5 35.8
INT/g
0.69
▼ L5 0.40
Rush yds/g
4.1
▼ L5 -1.2
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 88% | 100% | 88% | 88% |
| 224.5 | 81% | 100% | 75% | 88% |
| 249.5 | 63% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| 274.5 | 50% | 80% | 38% | 63% |
| 299.5 | 38% | 40% | 25% | 50% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 94% | 100% | 100% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 80% | 50% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 40% | 13% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 13% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 75% | 100% | 63% | 88% |
| 19.5 | 69% | 100% | 63% | 75% |
| 21.5 | 63% | 100% | 50% | 75% |
| 23.5 | 50% | 60% | 38% | 63% |
| 25.5 | 13% | 0% | 13% | 13% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 50% | 20% | 38% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 19% | 20% | 13% | 25% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
0.9
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
255.1
8 g
Away
286.4
8 g
In wins
275.6
9 g
In losses
264.6
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | @ DET | L 23-24 | -3.5 | 52.5 | 25 | 36 | 367 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 335 | 18.6 |
| 1 | @ SEA | W 30-13 | -4.5 | 45 | 24 | 38 | 334 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 409 | 20.7 |
| 2 | vs SF | L 23-30 | -7.5 | 45 | 34 | 55 | 307 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 363 | -5.1 |
| 3 | @ CIN | L 16-19 | -3 | 45.5 | 18 | 33 | 269 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 317 | -8.4 |
| 4 | @ IND | W 29-23 | +1 | 44.5 | 27 | 40 | 319 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 297 | 11.4 |
| 5 | vs PHI | L 14-23 | -3.5 | 50.5 | 21 | 37 | 222 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 366 | -2.5 |
| 6 | vs ARI | W 26-9 | +7 | 48 | 15 | 24 | 226 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 191 | 3.3 |
| 7 | vs PIT | L 17-24 | +3.5 | 44 | 14 | 29 | 231 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 263 | -3.6 |
| 8 | @ DAL | L 20-43 | -6.5 | 44.5 | 13 | 22 | 162 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 152 | -5.0 |
| 11 | vs SEA | W 17-16 | +2.5 | 45 | 17 | 31 | 190 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 158 | -4.6 |
| 12 | @ ARI | W 37-14 | +3 | 45 | 25 | 33 | 229 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 192 | 13.2 |
| 13 | vs CLE | W 36-19 | +3.5 | 39.5 | 22 | 37 | 279 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 292 | 5.3 |
| 14 | @ BAL | L 31-37 | -7.5 | 42 | 23 | 41 | 294 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 385 | 6.5 |
| 15 | vs WAS | W 28-20 | +6.5 | 48.5 | 25 | 33 | 258 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 172 | 7.9 |
| 16 | vs NO | W 30-22 | +4 | 45.5 | 24 | 34 | 328 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 278 | 15.0 |
| 17 | @ NYG | W 26-25 | +6 | 43.5 | 24 | 34 | 317 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 198 | 0.9 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).