At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
50.5
▲ L5 60.0
Rec/g
4.3
▲ L5 5.6
Tgt/g
6.9
▲ L5 7.8
Rec TD/g
0.19
▲ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 50% | 80% | 57% | 44% |
| 49.5 | 38% | 60% | 57% | 22% |
| 59.5 | 31% | 40% | 57% | 11% |
| 69.5 | 25% | 40% | 43% | 11% |
| 79.5 | 19% | 20% | 29% | 11% |
| 89.5 | 19% | 20% | 29% | 11% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 81% | 80% | 86% | 78% |
| 3.5 | 63% | 80% | 71% | 56% |
| 4.5 | 50% | 80% | 43% | 56% |
| 5.5 | 31% | 60% | 43% | 22% |
| 6.5 | 6% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| 7.5 | 6% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 88% | 80% | 86% | 89% |
| 6.5 | 63% | 80% | 57% | 67% |
| 8.5 | 25% | 60% | 29% | 22% |
| 10.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
26%
Air-yards share
36%
Rec EPA/game
1.7
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
61.4
7 g
Away
42.0
9 g
In wins
53.3
8 g
In losses
47.8
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs HOU | L 27-29 | -3 | 49 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 0 | 74 | 7 | 42% |
| 2 | @ GB | L 10-16 | +3 | 41.5 | 7 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 88 | 3 | 23% |
| 3 | vs CHI | W 21-16 | +1.5 | 43 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 0 | 43 | 17 | 28% |
| 4 | vs PIT | W 27-24 | -2.5 | 40 | 9 | 6 | 113 | 0 | 116 | 34 | 32% |
| 5 | @ JAX | L 34-37 | -3.5 | 45 | 8 | 5 | 37 | 1 | 49 | 19 | 18% |
| 6 | @ TEN | W 20-17 | -2.5 | 42 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 1 | 49 | 6 | 14% |
| 7 | vs MIA | W 16-10 | +3 | 44 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 0 | 88 | 16 | 23% |
| 8 | @ HOU | L 20-23 | -5 | 45 | 6 | 1 | 16 | 0 | 132 | 3 | 19% |
| 9 | @ MIN | L 13-21 | -6.5 | 47 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 50 | 0 | 15% |
| 11 | @ NYJ | W 28-27 | -4 | 43 | 8 | 5 | 46 | 0 | 116 | 13 | 29% |
| 12 | vs DET | L 6-24 | -7 | 50.5 | 7 | 6 | 96 | 0 | 79 | 40 | 28% |
| 13 | @ NE | W 25-24 | +2.5 | 41.5 | 7 | 5 | 42 | 0 | 46 | 33 | 29% |
| 15 | @ DEN | L 13-31 | -4.5 | 43.5 | 9 | 6 | 58 | 0 | 67 | 15 | 25% |
| 16 | vs TEN | W 38-30 | +4 | 42.5 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 28 | 4 | 27% |
| 17 | @ NYG | L 33-45 | +7.5 | 40.5 | 10 | 9 | 109 | 1 | 74 | 39 | 27% |
| 18 | vs JAX | W 26-23 | +3.5 | 45.5 | 10 | 6 | 72 | 0 | 135 | 10 | 26% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).