At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
63.6
▼ L5 55.4
Rec/g
5.2
▲ L5 5.4
Tgt/g
7.6
▲ L5 7.6
Rec TD/g
0.35
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 76% | 80% | 67% | 88% |
| 49.5 | 71% | 60% | 56% | 88% |
| 59.5 | 59% | 60% | 44% | 75% |
| 69.5 | 41% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| 79.5 | 29% | 20% | 22% | 38% |
| 89.5 | 12% | 0% | 11% | 13% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 82% | 80% | 78% | 88% |
| 3.5 | 76% | 80% | 67% | 88% |
| 4.5 | 65% | 80% | 56% | 75% |
| 5.5 | 53% | 80% | 33% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 18% | 20% | 22% | 13% |
| 7.5 | 18% | 20% | 22% | 13% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 82% | 100% | 78% | 88% |
| 6.5 | 53% | 60% | 33% | 75% |
| 8.5 | 29% | 20% | 33% | 25% |
| 10.5 | 24% | 20% | 22% | 25% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
24%
Air-yards share
21%
Rec EPA/game
7.9
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
57.2
9 g
Away
70.9
8 g
In wins
58.1
9 g
In losses
69.9
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs SEA | L 16-28 | -3 | 49 | 4 | 3 | 29 | 0 | 30 | 14 | 11% |
| 2 | vs LA | L 24-27 | -4 | 48 | 12 | 8 | 123 | 0 | 147 | 26 | 34% |
| 3 | @ TEN | L 16-25 | -4.5 | 47 | 12 | 6 | 68 | 0 | 125 | 23 | 35% |
| 4 | @ MIA | W 27-17 | -2.5 | 41.5 | 8 | 6 | 59 | 0 | 82 | 11 | 25% |
| 5 | @ BAL | L 25-31 | -7.5 | 46.5 | 7 | 6 | 89 | 1 | 44 | 49 | 21% |
| 6 | vs HOU | W 31-3 | +10.5 | 43.5 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 0 | 47 | 1 | 17% |
| 7 | @ SF | W 30-18 | -3.5 | 41.5 | 4 | 4 | 105 | 1 | 91 | 14 | 15% |
| 8 | vs TEN | L 31-34 | +3 | 51 | 15 | 10 | 86 | 2 | 147 | 17 | 31% |
| 9 | vs NYJ | W 45-30 | +10.5 | 46 | 6 | 5 | 64 | 1 | 24 | 36 | 21% |
| 10 | vs JAX | W 23-17 | +10.5 | 47.5 | 5 | 5 | 71 | 0 | 52 | 19 | 15% |
| 11 | @ BUF | W 41-15 | -7.5 | 49.5 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 38 | 10 | 25% |
| 12 | vs TB | L 31-38 | -3 | 53 | 10 | 4 | 53 | 0 | 152 | 3 | 23% |
| 13 | @ HOU | W 31-0 | +10 | 45.5 | 8 | 6 | 77 | 0 | 55 | 34 | 36% |
| 15 | vs NE | W 27-17 | -1 | 46 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 73 | 2 | 42% |
| 16 | @ ARI | W 22-16 | -3 | 48 | 12 | 8 | 82 | 0 | 64 | 42 | 43% |
| 17 | vs LV | L 20-23 | +8.5 | 46.5 | 6 | 6 | 47 | 0 | 19 | 28 | 25% |
| 18 | @ JAX | L 11-26 | +14 | 43 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 1 | 63 | 19 | 24% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).