At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
72.0
▲ L5 73.6
Rec/g
6.8
▼ L5 6.6
Tgt/g
9.8
▼ L5 9.0
Rec TD/g
0.25
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 94% | 100% | 89% | 100% |
| 49.5 | 75% | 60% | 56% | 100% |
| 59.5 | 63% | 60% | 44% | 86% |
| 69.5 | 56% | 60% | 44% | 71% |
| 79.5 | 44% | 40% | 33% | 57% |
| 89.5 | 31% | 40% | 22% | 43% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 88% | 100% | 78% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 88% | 100% | 78% | 100% |
| 4.5 | 81% | 80% | 67% | 100% |
| 5.5 | 63% | 40% | 33% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 63% | 40% | 33% | 100% |
| 7.5 | 63% | 40% | 33% | 100% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 75% | 60% | 56% | 100% |
| 8.5 | 56% | 40% | 33% | 86% |
| 10.5 | 56% | 40% | 33% | 86% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
26%
Air-yards share
25%
Rec EPA/game
4.1
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
62.4
9 g
Away
84.3
7 g
In wins
74.3
9 g
In losses
69.0
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs JAX | L 21-31 | -4 | 45.5 | 11 | 8 | 97 | 1 | 73 | 48 | 28% |
| 2 | @ HOU | W 31-20 | +1 | 40 | 12 | 8 | 56 | 0 | 67 | 30 | 39% |
| 3 | @ BAL | W 22-19 | -7.5 | 43.5 | 11 | 9 | 77 | 0 | 57 | 37 | 26% |
| 4 | vs LA | L 23-29 | -1 | 44.5 | 5 | 1 | 15 | 0 | 81 | 1 | 21% |
| 5 | vs TEN | W 23-16 | -2.5 | 43.5 | 7 | 5 | 52 | 0 | 71 | 22 | 29% |
| 6 | @ JAX | L 20-37 | -4 | 44 | 14 | 9 | 109 | 0 | 147 | 42 | 27% |
| 7 | vs CLE | L 38-39 | -3.5 | 40 | 5 | 2 | 83 | 1 | 71 | 61 | 23% |
| 8 | vs NO | L 27-38 | -2 | 43.5 | 13 | 8 | 40 | 1 | 76 | 20 | 34% |
| 9 | @ CAR | W 27-13 | +1.5 | 45 | 8 | 8 | 64 | 0 | 38 | 26 | 33% |
| 10 | @ NE | W 10-6 | +1 | 42 | 12 | 8 | 84 | 0 | 104 | 20 | 46% |
| 12 | vs TB | W 27-20 | +2.5 | 45 | 13 | 10 | 107 | 0 | 96 | 47 | 33% |
| 13 | @ TEN | W 31-28 | +1.5 | 42 | 16 | 11 | 105 | 1 | 109 | 46 | 39% |
| 14 | @ CIN | L 14-34 | -3 | 45 | 11 | 8 | 95 | 0 | 83 | 32 | 29% |
| 15 | vs PIT | W 30-13 | +1.5 | 41.5 | 5 | 4 | 78 | 0 | 55 | 36 | 19% |
| 17 | vs LV | W 23-20 | +3.5 | 42.5 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 0 | 41 | 30 | 35% |
| 18 | vs HOU | L 19-23 | -1.5 | 47.5 | 6 | 5 | 44 | 0 | 58 | 15 | 26% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).