At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
70.6
▼ L5 68.0
Rec/g
5.1
▼ L5 4.8
Tgt/g
7.8
▼ L5 6.2
Rec TD/g
0.89
▼ L5 0.80
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 78% | 80% | 80% | 75% |
| 49.5 | 67% | 60% | 80% | 50% |
| 59.5 | 67% | 60% | 80% | 50% |
| 69.5 | 61% | 60% | 80% | 38% |
| 79.5 | 39% | 60% | 50% | 25% |
| 89.5 | 33% | 40% | 40% | 25% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 78% | 80% | 90% | 63% |
| 3.5 | 67% | 80% | 80% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 61% | 60% | 80% | 38% |
| 5.5 | 56% | 60% | 70% | 38% |
| 6.5 | 28% | 20% | 20% | 38% |
| 7.5 | 17% | 0% | 20% | 13% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 78% | 80% | 90% | 63% |
| 6.5 | 61% | 60% | 70% | 50% |
| 8.5 | 44% | 20% | 50% | 38% |
| 10.5 | 17% | 0% | 20% | 13% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
18%
Air-yards share
20%
Rec EPA/game
7.0
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
79.1
10 g
Away
60.0
8 g
In wins
70.9
13 g
In losses
69.8
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs PHI | W 31-15 | +7.5 | 45.5 | 10 | 9 | 117 | 1 | 79 | 43 | 28% |
| 20* | vs LA | L 27-30 | +2.5 | 48 | 16 | 8 | 119 | 1 | 171 | 36 | 30% |
| 1 | vs DAL | W 31-29 | +10 | 52.5 | 6 | 3 | 24 | 0 | 46 | 6 | 13% |
| 2 | vs ATL | W 48-25 | +13.5 | 52 | 9 | 5 | 75 | 2 | 161 | 7 | 26% |
| 3 | @ LA | L 24-34 | +1 | 55 | 10 | 8 | 106 | 0 | 135 | 33 | 19% |
| 4 | @ NE | W 19-17 | +6 | 49.5 | 12 | 7 | 75 | 0 | 129 | 19 | 28% |
| 5 | vs MIA | W 45-17 | +11 | 48 | 8 | 6 | 113 | 2 | 165 | 13 | 19% |
| 6 | @ PHI | W 28-22 | +7 | 53 | 4 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 76 | 6 | 10% |
| 7 | vs CHI | W 38-3 | +12.5 | 47 | 10 | 6 | 76 | 3 | 99 | 7 | 26% |
| 8 | @ NO | L 27-36 | +4 | 48.5 | 4 | 2 | 48 | 1 | 114 | 9 | 10% |
| 10 | @ WAS | L 19-29 | +10 | 51 | 3 | 2 | 62 | 1 | 42 | 35 | 9% |
| 11 | vs NYG | W 30-10 | +11.5 | 49.5 | 11 | 6 | 73 | 1 | 91 | 20 | 23% |
| 12 | @ IND | W 38-31 | +3 | 53 | 6 | 3 | 16 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 18% |
| 13 | @ ATL | W 30-17 | +11 | 51 | 10 | 7 | 99 | 0 | 133 | 21 | 20% |
| 14 | vs BUF | W 33-27 | +3.5 | 52.5 | 6 | 6 | 91 | 1 | 81 | 10 | 13% |
| 15 | vs NO | L 0-9 | +11.5 | 45.5 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 0 | 14 | 0 | 2% |
| 17 | @ NYJ | W 28-24 | +14.5 | 48 | 7 | 4 | 47 | 1 | 137 | 7 | 14% |
| 18 | vs CAR | W 41-17 | +11 | 43 | 7 | 6 | 89 | 2 | 56 | 38 | 18% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).