At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
76.3
▼ L5 48.6
Rec/g
4.7
▼ L5 3.6
Tgt/g
8.2
▼ L5 6.6
Rec TD/g
0.74
▼ L5 0.60
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 84% | 60% | 100% | 70% |
| 49.5 | 63% | 60% | 78% | 50% |
| 59.5 | 58% | 40% | 78% | 40% |
| 69.5 | 47% | 40% | 67% | 30% |
| 79.5 | 37% | 20% | 56% | 20% |
| 89.5 | 21% | 0% | 33% | 10% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 95% | 80% | 100% | 90% |
| 3.5 | 68% | 40% | 78% | 60% |
| 4.5 | 53% | 20% | 67% | 40% |
| 5.5 | 42% | 20% | 56% | 30% |
| 6.5 | 16% | 20% | 22% | 10% |
| 7.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 10% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 89% | 80% | 89% | 90% |
| 6.5 | 68% | 40% | 89% | 50% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 20% | 56% | 40% |
| 10.5 | 16% | 0% | 11% | 20% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
26%
Air-yards share
49%
Rec EPA/game
-4.1
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
96.8
9 g
Away
57.9
10 g
In wins
80.3
10 g
In losses
71.9
9 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs PHI | W 32-9 | -2.5 | 43 | 7 | 3 | 48 | 0 | 134 | 8 | 20% |
| 20* | @ DET | L 23-31 | -6 | 49.5 | 12 | 8 | 147 | 1 | 178 | 27 | 31% |
| 1 | @ MIN | W 20-17 | -4 | 45 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 1 | 120 | 12 | 31% |
| 2 | vs CHI | W 27-17 | +2.5 | 41 | 8 | 6 | 171 | 1 | 111 | 79 | 25% |
| 3 | vs PHI | L 11-25 | -6 | 44 | 10 | 5 | 60 | 1 | 149 | 12 | 40% |
| 4 | @ NO | W 26-9 | -4 | 41 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 40 | 0 | 10% |
| 6 | vs DET | L 6-20 | -3 | 43.5 | 10 | 4 | 49 | 0 | 127 | 8 | 27% |
| 7 | vs ATL | L 13-16 | +3 | 37.5 | 8 | 6 | 82 | 1 | 87 | 23 | 20% |
| 8 | @ BUF | L 18-24 | -10 | 43 | 6 | 3 | 39 | 1 | 98 | 0 | 15% |
| 9 | @ HOU | L 37-39 | -2.5 | 39.5 | 5 | 4 | 87 | 0 | 82 | 9 | 17% |
| 10 | vs TEN | W 20-6 | +2.5 | 39.5 | 10 | 6 | 143 | 1 | 190 | 25 | 34% |
| 11 | @ SF | L 14-27 | -13.5 | 41.5 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 1 | 174 | 10 | 28% |
| 12 | @ IND | L 20-27 | -2.5 | 45 | 9 | 6 | 70 | 2 | 121 | 5 | 30% |
| 13 | vs CAR | W 21-18 | +4 | 37 | 12 | 7 | 162 | 1 | 212 | 77 | 44% |
| 14 | @ ATL | W 29-25 | -1.5 | 41.5 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 72 | 3 | 21% |
| 15 | @ GB | W 34-20 | -4 | 41.5 | 6 | 4 | 57 | 1 | 57 | 7 | 22% |
| 16 | vs JAX | W 30-12 | -2 | 43 | 9 | 7 | 86 | 2 | 78 | 15 | 26% |
| 17 | vs NO | L 13-23 | +2.5 | 42.5 | 4 | 3 | 70 | 0 | 71 | 30 | 12% |
| 18 | @ CAR | W 9-0 | +5 | 36.5 | 8 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 117 | 7 | 26% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).