At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
294.8
▼ L5 291.0
Pass TD/g
2.40
■ L5 2.40
Comp/g
26.3
▼ L5 25.4
Att/g
39.0
▼ L5 36.0
INT/g
0.80
▼ L5 0.20
Rush yds/g
24.9
▲ L5 26.2
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 90% | 100% | 83% | 100% |
| 224.5 | 85% | 100% | 83% | 88% |
| 249.5 | 85% | 100% | 83% | 88% |
| 274.5 | 50% | 20% | 42% | 63% |
| 299.5 | 35% | 20% | 25% | 50% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 85% | 100% | 83% | 88% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 100% | 67% | 88% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 40% | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 15% | 0% | 8% | 25% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 95% | 100% | 92% | 100% |
| 19.5 | 95% | 100% | 92% | 100% |
| 21.5 | 80% | 80% | 75% | 88% |
| 23.5 | 70% | 60% | 58% | 88% |
| 25.5 | 60% | 60% | 58% | 63% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 60% | 20% | 58% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
12.1
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
277.3
12 g
Away
321.1
8 g
In wins
305.8
14 g
In losses
269.2
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs PIT | W 42-21 | +13 | 46 | 30 | 39 | 404 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 194 | 19.0 |
| 20* | vs BUF | W 42-36 | +2.5 | 54 | 33 | 44 | 378 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 226 | 21.3 |
| 21* | vs CIN | L 24-27 | +7 | 54.5 | 26 | 39 | 275 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 274 | -6.4 |
| 1 | vs CLE | W 33-29 | +5.5 | 54.5 | 27 | 36 | 337 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 335 | 20.3 |
| 2 | @ BAL | L 35-36 | +3.5 | 53.5 | 24 | 31 | 343 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 245 | 17.2 |
| 3 | vs LAC | L 24-30 | +6.5 | 55 | 27 | 44 | 260 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 387 | 11.1 |
| 4 | @ PHI | W 42-30 | +7.5 | 53.5 | 24 | 30 | 278 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 219 | 22.7 |
| 5 | vs BUF | L 20-38 | +2.5 | 57 | 33 | 54 | 272 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 363 | -9.9 |
| 6 | @ WAS | W 31-13 | +6 | 54 | 32 | 47 | 397 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 350 | 12.3 |
| 7 | @ TEN | L 3-27 | +4 | 57.5 | 20 | 35 | 206 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 249 | -6.8 |
| 8 | vs NYG | W 20-17 | +10.5 | 53 | 29 | 48 | 275 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 332 | 2.7 |
| 9 | vs GB | W 13-7 | +7 | 48 | 20 | 37 | 166 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 331 | -9.0 |
| 10 | @ LV | W 41-14 | +2.5 | 53.5 | 35 | 50 | 406 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 399 | 24.9 |
| 11 | vs DAL | W 19-9 | +2.5 | 56 | 23 | 37 | 260 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 198 | -7.6 |
| 13 | vs DEN | W 22-9 | +8.5 | 46.5 | 15 | 29 | 184 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 151 | -2.6 |
| 14 | vs LV | W 48-9 | +10 | 48 | 20 | 24 | 258 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 142 | 15.5 |
| 15 | @ LAC | W 34-28 | +3 | 54 | 31 | 47 | 410 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 299 | 9.3 |
| 16 | vs PIT | W 36-10 | +10.5 | 44 | 23 | 30 | 258 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 254 | 15.9 |
| 17 | @ CIN | L 31-34 | +3.5 | 51 | 26 | 35 | 259 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 297 | 11.3 |
| 18 | @ DEN | W 28-24 | +11.5 | 44.5 | 27 | 44 | 270 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 278 | 12.1 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).