At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
261.7
▼ L5 253.2
Pass TD/g
1.65
▼ L5 1.20
Comp/g
25.3
▼ L5 24.2
Att/g
37.3
▼ L5 37.2
INT/g
0.75
▲ L5 1.00
Rush yds/g
26.5
▼ L5 16.8
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 90% | 100% | 82% | 100% |
| 224.5 | 75% | 80% | 82% | 67% |
| 249.5 | 50% | 40% | 55% | 44% |
| 274.5 | 35% | 20% | 27% | 44% |
| 299.5 | 25% | 20% | 27% | 22% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 95% | 100% | 100% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 55% | 20% | 55% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 0% | 18% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 5% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 95% | 100% | 100% | 89% |
| 19.5 | 90% | 100% | 100% | 78% |
| 21.5 | 70% | 60% | 73% | 67% |
| 23.5 | 65% | 60% | 64% | 67% |
| 25.5 | 45% | 40% | 36% | 56% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 60% | 80% | 64% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 15% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
-0.0
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
266.9
11 g
Away
255.3
9 g
In wins
276.8
14 g
In losses
226.5
6 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs MIA | W 26-7 | +4.5 | 43.5 | 23 | 41 | 262 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 295 | 8.1 |
| 20* | @ BUF | W 27-24 | -2.5 | 45.5 | 17 | 23 | 215 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 165 | 14.1 |
| 21* | @ BAL | W 17-10 | -4.5 | 44 | 30 | 39 | 241 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 233 | 7.8 |
| 22* | vs SF | W 25-22 | -1.5 | 47 | 34 | 46 | 333 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 280 | 6.1 |
| 1 | vs DET | L 20-21 | +4 | 53 | 21 | 39 | 226 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 354 | -6.5 |
| 2 | @ JAX | W 17-9 | +3.5 | 50.5 | 29 | 41 | 305 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 274 | 10.6 |
| 3 | vs CHI | W 41-10 | +13 | 48 | 24 | 33 | 272 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 223 | 20.9 |
| 4 | @ NYJ | W 23-20 | +9.5 | 41.5 | 18 | 30 | 203 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 195 | 0.6 |
| 5 | @ MIN | W 27-20 | +3.5 | 52.5 | 31 | 41 | 281 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 241 | 14.8 |
| 6 | vs DEN | W 19-8 | +10.5 | 47.5 | 30 | 40 | 306 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 158 | 4.6 |
| 7 | vs LAC | W 31-17 | +5.5 | 48.5 | 32 | 42 | 424 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 343 | 22.3 |
| 8 | @ DEN | L 9-24 | +7 | 45.5 | 24 | 38 | 240 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 277 | -11.0 |
| 9 | vs MIA | W 21-14 | +1 | 51 | 20 | 30 | 185 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 167 | 1.4 |
| 11 | vs PHI | L 17-21 | +2.5 | 46 | 24 | 43 | 177 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 383 | -8.0 |
| 12 | @ LV | W 31-17 | +9 | 42.5 | 27 | 34 | 298 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 167 | 12.6 |
| 13 | @ GB | L 19-27 | +5.5 | 43.5 | 21 | 33 | 210 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 286 | 3.9 |
| 14 | vs BUF | L 17-20 | +2 | 49.5 | 25 | 43 | 271 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 285 | -3.0 |
| 15 | @ NE | W 27-17 | +10 | 39.5 | 27 | 37 | 305 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 214 | 2.1 |
| 16 | vs LV | L 14-20 | +11 | 40.5 | 27 | 44 | 235 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 159 | -14.3 |
| 17 | vs CIN | W 25-17 | +7.5 | 46 | 21 | 29 | 245 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 147 | -0.0 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).