At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Pass yds/g
204.7
▼ L5 201.0
Pass TD/g
1.73
▼ L5 1.40
Comp/g
19.8
▼ L5 18.4
Att/g
29.8
▲ L5 30.0
INT/g
0.53
▲ L5 0.80
Rush yds/g
22.7
▼ L5 21.8
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Passing yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 199.5 | 47% | 60% | 38% | 57% |
| 224.5 | 27% | 20% | 38% | 14% |
| 249.5 | 20% | 0% | 25% | 14% |
| 274.5 | 13% | 0% | 13% | 14% |
| 299.5 | 13% | 0% | 13% | 14% |
Passing TDs
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 40% | 63% | 43% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 0% | 25% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Completions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 73% | 60% | 75% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 60% | 40% | 63% | 57% |
| 21.5 | 33% | 20% | 38% | 29% |
| 23.5 | 27% | 20% | 38% | 14% |
| 25.5 | 13% | 0% | 25% | 0% |
Interceptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 33% | 40% | 13% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 13% | 20% | 0% | 29% |
Passing yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Pass EPA/game
-1.1
Splits
Passing yards per game.
Home
202.5
8 g
Away
207.1
7 g
In wins
191.6
7 g
In losses
216.1
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Cmp | Att | Yds | TD | Int | Sk | AirYd | EPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vs LV | L 16-17 | +3 | 43 | 27 | 34 | 177 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 137 | 2.4 |
| 2 | vs WAS | L 33-35 | +4 | 38.5 | 18 | 32 | 308 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 300 | 3.3 |
| 3 | @ MIA | L 20-70 | -6 | 47.5 | 23 | 38 | 306 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 412 | 2.2 |
| 4 | @ CHI | W 31-28 | +3 | 47 | 21 | 28 | 223 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 179 | 14.2 |
| 5 | vs NYJ | L 21-31 | +2.5 | 42.5 | 20 | 31 | 196 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 177 | -10.4 |
| 6 | @ KC | L 8-19 | -10.5 | 47.5 | 13 | 22 | 95 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 117 | -18.3 |
| 7 | vs GB | W 19-17 | +1.5 | 44 | 20 | 29 | 194 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 227 | 4.1 |
| 8 | vs KC | W 24-9 | -7 | 45.5 | 12 | 19 | 114 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 127 | -4.8 |
| 10 | @ BUF | W 24-22 | -7.5 | 47.5 | 24 | 29 | 193 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 100 | 5.8 |
| 11 | vs MIN | W 21-20 | +2.5 | 43.5 | 27 | 35 | 259 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 233 | 1.5 |
| 12 | vs CLE | W 29-12 | +1.5 | 37.5 | 13 | 22 | 134 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 122 | 4.5 |
| 13 | @ HOU | L 17-22 | -3.5 | 47.5 | 15 | 26 | 186 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 335 | -15.0 |
| 14 | @ LAC | W 24-7 | -3 | 45 | 21 | 33 | 224 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 167 | -2.2 |
| 15 | @ DET | L 17-42 | -5.5 | 49 | 18 | 32 | 223 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 232 | -2.4 |
| 16 | vs NE | L 23-26 | +7 | 37.5 | 25 | 37 | 238 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 324 | -1.1 |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).