At a glance
Per-game 2022 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
87.7
▼ L5 63.8
Rec/g
6.6
▼ L5 4.8
Tgt/g
9.6
▼ L5 7.0
Rec TD/g
0.61
▼ L5 0.40
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 83% | 60% | 80% | 88% |
| 49.5 | 78% | 60% | 70% | 88% |
| 59.5 | 78% | 60% | 70% | 88% |
| 69.5 | 67% | 40% | 60% | 75% |
| 79.5 | 56% | 40% | 60% | 50% |
| 89.5 | 56% | 40% | 60% | 50% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 94% | 80% | 100% | 88% |
| 3.5 | 89% | 60% | 90% | 88% |
| 4.5 | 72% | 60% | 70% | 75% |
| 5.5 | 61% | 40% | 60% | 63% |
| 6.5 | 56% | 40% | 50% | 63% |
| 7.5 | 33% | 0% | 30% | 38% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 94% | 80% | 100% | 88% |
| 6.5 | 78% | 60% | 80% | 75% |
| 8.5 | 72% | 60% | 70% | 75% |
| 10.5 | 33% | 0% | 30% | 38% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
32%
Air-yards share
37%
Rec EPA/game
8.0
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
88.4
10 g
Away
86.8
8 g
In wins
89.1
14 g
In losses
82.5
4 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs MIA | W 34-31 | +14 | 44 | 9 | 7 | 114 | 0 | 163 | 18 | 24% |
| 20* | vs CIN | L 10-27 | +6 | 48.5 | 10 | 4 | 35 | 0 | 136 | 2 | 25% |
| 1 | @ LA | W 31-10 | +1 | 51.5 | 9 | 8 | 122 | 1 | 99 | 27 | 29% |
| 2 | vs TEN | W 41-7 | +10 | 47.5 | 15 | 12 | 148 | 3 | 141 | 30 | 38% |
| 3 | @ MIA | L 19-21 | +4 | 54 | 11 | 7 | 74 | 0 | 84 | 36 | 19% |
| 4 | @ BAL | W 23-20 | +3 | 50 | 6 | 4 | 62 | 0 | 90 | 11 | 18% |
| 5 | vs PIT | W 38-3 | +14 | 44 | 11 | 8 | 102 | 1 | 118 | 68 | 31% |
| 6 | @ KC | W 24-20 | +2.5 | 54 | 13 | 10 | 148 | 1 | 113 | 52 | 34% |
| 8 | vs GB | W 27-17 | +10.5 | 47 | 8 | 6 | 108 | 1 | 127 | 26 | 32% |
| 9 | @ NYJ | L 17-20 | +11 | 46 | 10 | 5 | 93 | 0 | 187 | 25 | 30% |
| 10 | vs MIN | L 30-33 | +6.5 | 47 | 16 | 12 | 128 | 0 | 135 | 43 | 39% |
| 11 | vs CLE | W 31-23 | +7.5 | 50.5 | 5 | 4 | 48 | 1 | 48 | 10 | 21% |
| 12 | @ DET | W 28-25 | +10 | 54 | 15 | 8 | 77 | 1 | 135 | 20 | 38% |
| 13 | @ NE | W 24-10 | +3.5 | 43.5 | 9 | 7 | 92 | 1 | 138 | 23 | 27% |
| 14 | vs NYJ | W 20-12 | +10 | 43.5 | 5 | 3 | 37 | 0 | 28 | 29 | 19% |
| 15 | vs MIA | W 32-29 | +7 | 44 | 9 | 5 | 60 | 0 | 109 | 11 | 24% |
| 16 | @ CHI | W 35-13 | +8 | 40 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 0 | 25 | 1 | 8% |
| 18 | vs NE | W 35-23 | +8 | 44 | 10 | 7 | 104 | 1 | 152 | 7 | 32% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).