At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
66.1
▼ L5 42.8
Rec/g
6.2
▼ L5 4.8
Tgt/g
9.3
▼ L5 7.8
Rec TD/g
0.42
▼ L5 0.00
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 68% | 40% | 64% | 75% |
| 49.5 | 63% | 20% | 55% | 75% |
| 59.5 | 53% | 20% | 45% | 63% |
| 69.5 | 47% | 20% | 36% | 63% |
| 79.5 | 37% | 20% | 27% | 50% |
| 89.5 | 26% | 0% | 27% | 25% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 89% | 100% | 82% | 100% |
| 4.5 | 68% | 40% | 55% | 88% |
| 5.5 | 63% | 20% | 55% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 42% | 20% | 45% | 38% |
| 7.5 | 26% | 0% | 27% | 25% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 89% | 80% | 82% | 100% |
| 8.5 | 47% | 20% | 36% | 63% |
| 10.5 | 42% | 20% | 27% | 63% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
22%
Air-yards share
30%
Rec EPA/game
4.6
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
62.3
11 g
Away
71.4
8 g
In wins
63.3
12 g
In losses
70.9
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs PIT | W 31-17 | +10 | 39.5 | 9 | 7 | 52 | 0 | 64 | 32 | 30% |
| 20* | vs KC | L 24-27 | +2.5 | 45.5 | 8 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 80 | 25 | 22% |
| 1 | @ NYJ | L 16-22 | +2.5 | 44.5 | 13 | 10 | 102 | 1 | 135 | 28 | 33% |
| 2 | vs LV | W 38-10 | +7.5 | 47 | 7 | 7 | 66 | 0 | 34 | 32 | 19% |
| 3 | @ WAS | W 37-3 | +5.5 | 44 | 12 | 8 | 111 | 0 | 122 | 20 | 38% |
| 4 | vs MIA | W 48-20 | +2.5 | 53 | 7 | 6 | 120 | 3 | 80 | 46 | 28% |
| 5 | vs JAX | L 20-25 | +5.5 | 48.5 | 11 | 8 | 121 | 1 | 182 | 9 | 31% |
| 6 | vs NYG | W 14-9 | +15.5 | 43.5 | 16 | 10 | 100 | 0 | 153 | 23 | 55% |
| 7 | @ NE | L 25-29 | +7.5 | 41 | 12 | 6 | 58 | 1 | 219 | 24 | 31% |
| 8 | vs TB | W 24-18 | +10 | 43 | 12 | 9 | 70 | 0 | 74 | 27 | 31% |
| 9 | @ CIN | L 18-24 | -1.5 | 51 | 7 | 6 | 86 | 1 | 48 | 42 | 22% |
| 10 | vs DEN | L 22-24 | +7.5 | 47.5 | 5 | 3 | 34 | 0 | 30 | 22 | 20% |
| 11 | vs NYJ | W 32-6 | +8 | 39.5 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 0 | 41 | 21 | 28% |
| 12 | @ PHI | L 34-37 | -2.5 | 49 | 11 | 6 | 74 | 1 | 94 | 25 | 22% |
| 14 | @ KC | W 20-17 | -2 | 49.5 | 11 | 4 | 24 | 0 | 86 | 16 | 31% |
| 15 | vs DAL | W 31-10 | +2 | 49.5 | 5 | 4 | 48 | 0 | 31 | 20 | 38% |
| 16 | @ LAC | W 24-22 | +13 | 44.5 | 8 | 5 | 29 | 0 | 114 | 6 | 38% |
| 17 | vs NE | W 27-21 | +15 | 40 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 108 | 13 | 25% |
| 18 | @ MIA | W 21-14 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 8 | 7 | 87 | 0 | 107 | 25 | 22% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).