At a glance
Per-game 2024 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
75.9
▼ L5 70.6
Rec/g
6.1
▼ L5 6.0
Tgt/g
9.1
▼ L5 8.2
Rec TD/g
0.83
▲ L5 1.00
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 83% | 80% | 80% | 86% |
| 49.5 | 83% | 80% | 80% | 86% |
| 59.5 | 67% | 40% | 60% | 71% |
| 69.5 | 50% | 40% | 40% | 57% |
| 79.5 | 42% | 40% | 40% | 43% |
| 89.5 | 17% | 20% | 20% | 14% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 92% | 80% | 100% | 86% |
| 3.5 | 83% | 80% | 80% | 86% |
| 4.5 | 67% | 60% | 80% | 57% |
| 5.5 | 50% | 40% | 60% | 43% |
| 6.5 | 42% | 40% | 60% | 29% |
| 7.5 | 33% | 40% | 60% | 14% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 6.5 | 75% | 60% | 80% | 71% |
| 8.5 | 50% | 40% | 80% | 29% |
| 10.5 | 33% | 40% | 60% | 14% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal — a rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
11%
Air-yards share
25%
Rec EPA/game
3.4
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
76.0
5 g
Away
75.9
7 g
In wins
71.5
8 g
In losses
84.8
4 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | vs WAS | L 33-38 | +7.5 | 46 | 6 | 3 | 39 | 0 | 63 | 8 | 16% |
| 4 | @ CAR | W 34-24 | +4.5 | 47 | 10 | 6 | 60 | 0 | 96 | 16 | 33% |
| 5 | vs BAL | L 38-41 | -2.5 | 48.5 | 14 | 9 | 83 | 2 | 138 | 21 | 36% |
| 6 | @ NYG | W 17-7 | +4.5 | 46 | 7 | 7 | 77 | 0 | 42 | 35 | 30% |
| 7 | @ CLE | W 21-14 | +5.5 | 42 | 8 | 4 | 82 | 1 | 119 | 32 | 33% |
| 11 | @ LAC | L 27-34 | -1 | 48 | 13 | 9 | 148 | 1 | 153 | 37 | 28% |
| 13 | vs PIT | L 38-44 | +3 | 46 | 10 | 5 | 69 | 1 | 75 | 23 | 27% |
| 14 | @ DAL | W 27-20 | +5 | 51 | 5 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 40 | 4 | 12% |
| 15 | @ TEN | W 37-27 | +6 | 46.5 | 8 | 5 | 88 | 1 | 98 | 16 | 23% |
| 16 | vs CLE | W 24-6 | +10 | 46.5 | 11 | 8 | 58 | 1 | 81 | 14 | 39% |
| 17 | vs DEN | W 30-24 | +3.5 | 50.5 | 12 | 11 | 131 | 3 | 115 | 19 | 24% |
| 18 | @ PIT | W 19-17 | +2.5 | 48.5 | 5 | 4 | 53 | 0 | 47 | 3 | 11% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).