At a glance
Per-game 2022 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
69.2
▼ L5 63.4
Rec/g
5.1
▼ L5 4.8
Tgt/g
7.6
▼ L5 7.6
Rec TD/g
0.47
▲ L5 0.80
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 65% | 40% | 43% | 80% |
| 49.5 | 53% | 40% | 43% | 60% |
| 59.5 | 53% | 40% | 43% | 60% |
| 69.5 | 47% | 40% | 29% | 60% |
| 79.5 | 41% | 40% | 29% | 50% |
| 89.5 | 35% | 40% | 29% | 40% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 88% | 80% | 71% | 100% |
| 3.5 | 71% | 60% | 57% | 80% |
| 4.5 | 65% | 60% | 43% | 80% |
| 5.5 | 47% | 40% | 29% | 60% |
| 6.5 | 29% | 40% | 29% | 30% |
| 7.5 | 12% | 20% | 0% | 20% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 88% | 100% | 86% | 90% |
| 6.5 | 71% | 80% | 57% | 80% |
| 8.5 | 41% | 40% | 14% | 60% |
| 10.5 | 12% | 0% | 0% | 20% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
18%
Air-yards share
34%
Rec EPA/game
-3.6
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
54.7
7 g
Away
79.4
10 g
In wins
72.8
13 g
In losses
57.5
4 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs BAL | W 24-17 | +7.5 | 40 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 0 | 55 | 15 | 19% |
| 20* | @ BUF | W 27-10 | -6 | 48.5 | 4 | 3 | 28 | 0 | 22 | 8 | 13% |
| 21* | @ KC | L 20-23 | -2 | 48.5 | 11 | 6 | 83 | 1 | 166 | 11 | 30% |
| 1 | vs PIT | L 20-23 | +7.5 | 44.5 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 0 | 18 | 9 | 4% |
| 2 | @ DAL | L 17-20 | +7.5 | 42 | 10 | 6 | 71 | 1 | 96 | 18 | 29% |
| 3 | @ NYJ | W 27-12 | +6.5 | 46 | 7 | 5 | 93 | 0 | 100 | 13 | 20% |
| 4 | vs MIA | W 27-15 | +4 | 48.5 | 9 | 7 | 124 | 1 | 96 | 72 | 28% |
| 6 | @ NO | W 30-26 | +3 | 42.5 | 9 | 6 | 47 | 0 | 61 | 12 | 25% |
| 7 | vs ATL | W 35-17 | +6.5 | 47.5 | 7 | 5 | 93 | 0 | 76 | 35 | 17% |
| 8 | @ CLE | L 13-32 | +3 | 45 | 6 | 3 | 49 | 1 | 87 | 11 | 18% |
| 9 | vs CAR | W 42-21 | +7 | 43 | 8 | 7 | 60 | 0 | 55 | 6 | 27% |
| 11 | @ PIT | W 37-30 | +3.5 | 39 | 13 | 9 | 148 | 0 | 145 | 44 | 35% |
| 12 | @ TEN | W 20-16 | +1 | 43 | 9 | 7 | 114 | 1 | 130 | 6 | 25% |
| 13 | vs KC | W 27-24 | -2.5 | 53 | 5 | 3 | 35 | 1 | 46 | 13 | 16% |
| 15 | @ TB | W 34-23 | +3.5 | 47 | 8 | 5 | 33 | 1 | 62 | 12 | 21% |
| 16 | @ NE | W 22-18 | +3 | 42 | 9 | 8 | 128 | 1 | 97 | 35 | 18% |
| 18 | vs BAL | W 27-16 | +11 | 39 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 116 | 0 | 18% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).