At a glance
Per-game 2021 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
77.8
▲ L5 106.2
Rec/g
5.1
▲ L5 6.2
Tgt/g
7.8
▲ L5 8.4
Rec TD/g
0.44
▲ L5 0.60
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 78% | 80% | 80% | 75% |
| 49.5 | 72% | 80% | 80% | 63% |
| 59.5 | 67% | 80% | 70% | 63% |
| 69.5 | 50% | 60% | 60% | 38% |
| 79.5 | 44% | 60% | 50% | 38% |
| 89.5 | 44% | 60% | 50% | 38% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 83% | 80% | 90% | 75% |
| 3.5 | 72% | 60% | 80% | 63% |
| 4.5 | 56% | 60% | 60% | 50% |
| 5.5 | 44% | 40% | 40% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 22% | 40% | 20% | 25% |
| 7.5 | 11% | 40% | 20% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 83% | 80% | 90% | 75% |
| 6.5 | 61% | 60% | 70% | 50% |
| 8.5 | 33% | 40% | 20% | 50% |
| 10.5 | 17% | 40% | 20% | 13% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
13%
Air-yards share
25%
Rec EPA/game
4.6
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
90.0
10 g
Away
62.5
8 g
In wins
71.0
11 g
In losses
88.4
7 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs LV | W 26-19 | +6 | 48.5 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 59 | 6 | 13% |
| 20* | @ TEN | W 19-16 | -4 | 48.5 | 9 | 7 | 96 | 0 | 72 | 42 | 26% |
| 21* | @ KC | W 27-24 | -7 | 54.5 | 10 | 6 | 103 | 0 | 127 | 43 | 28% |
| 22* | vs LA | L 20-23 | -4.5 | 48.5 | 7 | 4 | 100 | 2 | 73 | 43 | 21% |
| 1 | vs MIN | W 27-24 | -3 | 47 | 5 | 4 | 58 | 1 | 41 | 23 | 19% |
| 2 | @ CHI | L 17-20 | -2 | 44.5 | 10 | 6 | 60 | 1 | 97 | 19 | 34% |
| 5 | vs GB | L 22-25 | -2 | 50 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 0 | 45 | 9 | 19% |
| 6 | @ DET | W 34-11 | +3.5 | 46.5 | 6 | 3 | 44 | 0 | 50 | 16 | 21% |
| 7 | @ BAL | W 41-17 | -6.5 | 45.5 | 15 | 7 | 62 | 0 | 174 | 12 | 42% |
| 8 | @ NYJ | L 31-34 | +11.5 | 43.5 | 6 | 4 | 97 | 0 | 101 | 23 | 18% |
| 9 | vs CLE | L 16-41 | +2.5 | 47.5 | 8 | 6 | 78 | 0 | 129 | 10 | 20% |
| 11 | @ LV | W 32-13 | +1 | 50.5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 0 | 16 | 7 | 11% |
| 12 | vs PIT | W 41-10 | +3.5 | 43.5 | 8 | 6 | 114 | 1 | 133 | 20 | 33% |
| 13 | vs LAC | L 22-41 | +2.5 | 49.5 | 14 | 9 | 138 | 1 | 183 | 33 | 37% |
| 14 | vs SF | L 23-26 | -2.5 | 49 | 7 | 5 | 114 | 0 | 114 | 34 | 21% |
| 15 | @ DEN | W 15-10 | -3 | 45 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 15 | 13 | 14% |
| 16 | vs BAL | W 41-21 | +7.5 | 43 | 13 | 12 | 194 | 2 | 158 | 38 | 28% |
| 17 | vs KC | W 34-31 | -3.5 | 51 | 5 | 3 | 62 | 0 | 67 | 28 | 13% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).