At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
54.7
▲ L5 65.6
Rec/g
3.5
▼ L5 3.0
Tgt/g
6.3
▼ L5 5.0
Rec TD/g
0.42
▲ L5 0.60
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 50% | 60% | 67% | 33% |
| 49.5 | 50% | 60% | 67% | 33% |
| 59.5 | 50% | 60% | 67% | 33% |
| 69.5 | 33% | 40% | 50% | 17% |
| 79.5 | 25% | 20% | 33% | 17% |
| 89.5 | 17% | 20% | 17% | 17% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 50% | 60% | 50% | 50% |
| 3.5 | 42% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| 4.5 | 33% | 20% | 33% | 33% |
| 5.5 | 17% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 6.5 | 17% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 17% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 58% | 40% | 67% | 50% |
| 6.5 | 50% | 40% | 67% | 33% |
| 8.5 | 17% | 0% | 33% | 0% |
| 10.5 | 8% | 0% | 17% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
6%
Air-yards share
23%
Rec EPA/game
1.3
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
62.2
6 g
Away
47.2
6 g
In wins
55.6
7 g
In losses
53.4
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ CLE | L 3-24 | +1 | 46.5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 151 | 0 | 26% |
| 2 | vs BAL | L 24-27 | +3.5 | 45.5 | 12 | 8 | 89 | 2 | 125 | 32 | 31% |
| 3 | vs LA | W 19-16 | +3 | 45.5 | 8 | 2 | 21 | 0 | 87 | 11 | 17% |
| 4 | @ TEN | L 3-27 | +2.5 | 41.5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 0 | 25 | 13 | 15% |
| 6 | vs SEA | W 17-13 | +3 | 45.5 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 38 | 7 | 11% |
| 8 | @ SF | W 31-17 | -4 | 44 | 6 | 5 | 69 | 0 | 65 | 18 | 19% |
| 9 | vs BUF | W 24-18 | +1.5 | 51 | 9 | 8 | 110 | 0 | 83 | 38 | 21% |
| 13 | @ JAX | W 34-31 | -10 | 41 | 3 | 3 | 36 | 0 | 31 | 5 | 8% |
| 14 | vs IND | W 34-14 | +3 | 45 | 4 | 2 | 72 | 0 | 65 | 21 | 16% |
| 15 | vs MIN | W 27-24 | +3 | 41.5 | 8 | 4 | 61 | 2 | 165 | 3 | 20% |
| 16 | @ PIT | L 11-34 | +3 | 39.5 | 8 | 5 | 140 | 1 | 83 | 83 | 20% |
| 17 | @ KC | L 17-25 | -7.5 | 46 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 0 | 55 | 4 | 6% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).