At a glance
Per-game 2022 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
44.8
▼ L5 33.4
Rec/g
3.4
▲ L5 3.4
Tgt/g
4.7
▼ L5 4.4
Rec TD/g
0.26
▼ L5 0.20
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 47% | 40% | 63% | 36% |
| 49.5 | 26% | 40% | 38% | 18% |
| 59.5 | 21% | 20% | 25% | 18% |
| 69.5 | 11% | 0% | 13% | 9% |
| 79.5 | 11% | 0% | 13% | 9% |
| 89.5 | 11% | 0% | 13% | 9% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 63% | 80% | 75% | 55% |
| 3.5 | 42% | 60% | 63% | 27% |
| 4.5 | 26% | 40% | 38% | 18% |
| 5.5 | 11% | 0% | 13% | 9% |
| 6.5 | 5% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 5% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 58% | 60% | 75% | 45% |
| 6.5 | 21% | 20% | 38% | 9% |
| 8.5 | 5% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
| 10.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
18%
Air-yards share
21%
Rec EPA/game
3.1
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
52.0
8 g
Away
39.5
11 g
In wins
49.4
14 g
In losses
32.0
5 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19* | vs BAL | W 24-17 | +7.5 | 40 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 0 | 18 | 8 | 9% |
| 20* | @ BUF | W 27-10 | -6 | 48.5 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 0 | 45 | 2 | 6% |
| 21* | @ KC | L 20-23 | -2 | 48.5 | 2 | 2 | 40 | 0 | 36 | 4 | 5% |
| 1 | vs PIT | L 20-23 | +7.5 | 44.5 | 7 | 4 | 33 | 1 | 87 | 1 | 13% |
| 2 | @ DAL | L 17-20 | +7.5 | 42 | 2 | 2 | 17 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 6% |
| 3 | @ NYJ | W 27-12 | +6.5 | 46 | 5 | 4 | 105 | 1 | 54 | 68 | 14% |
| 4 | vs MIA | W 27-15 | +4 | 48.5 | 5 | 2 | 47 | 0 | 65 | 11 | 16% |
| 5 | @ BAL | L 17-19 | -3 | 47.5 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 0 | 6 | 21 | 12% |
| 6 | @ NO | W 30-26 | +3 | 42.5 | 6 | 6 | 66 | 0 | 39 | 27 | 17% |
| 7 | vs ATL | W 35-17 | +6.5 | 47.5 | 9 | 8 | 155 | 1 | 117 | 38 | 21% |
| 8 | @ CLE | L 13-32 | +3 | 45 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 1 | 56 | 7 | 15% |
| 9 | vs CAR | W 42-21 | +7 | 43 | 6 | 5 | 44 | 0 | 38 | 10 | 20% |
| 11 | @ PIT | W 37-30 | +3.5 | 39 | 7 | 2 | 42 | 0 | 69 | 7 | 19% |
| 12 | @ TEN | W 20-16 | +1 | 43 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 0 | 29 | 5 | 11% |
| 13 | vs KC | W 27-24 | -2.5 | 53 | 5 | 4 | 60 | 0 | 62 | 14 | 16% |
| 14 | vs CLE | W 23-10 | +4.5 | 47 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 3% |
| 15 | @ TB | W 34-23 | +3.5 | 47 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 1 | 28 | 7 | 13% |
| 16 | @ NE | W 22-18 | +3 | 42 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 0 | 13 | 11 | 8% |
| 18 | vs BAL | W 27-16 | +11 | 39 | 7 | 5 | 51 | 0 | 73 | 19 | 18% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).