At a glance
Per-game 2023 · arrow = last-5-game form vs the season average.
Rec yds/g
39.2
▼ L5 33.6
Rec/g
3.9
▼ L5 2.4
Tgt/g
5.8
▼ L5 3.8
Rec TD/g
0.12
▼ L5 0.00
Prop hit rates
How often he clears each alt line. Green = hits often (live over), red = rarely (live under). The view books don't give you.
Receiving yards
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 39.5 | 35% | 40% | 44% | 25% |
| 49.5 | 29% | 40% | 44% | 13% |
| 59.5 | 6% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 69.5 | 6% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 79.5 | 6% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 89.5 | 6% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Receptions
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.5 | 71% | 20% | 67% | 75% |
| 3.5 | 47% | 20% | 44% | 50% |
| 4.5 | 41% | 20% | 44% | 38% |
| 5.5 | 24% | 0% | 33% | 13% |
| 6.5 | 12% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
| 7.5 | 6% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Targets
% of games over
| Over | Season | L5 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 71% | 40% | 78% | 63% |
| 6.5 | 47% | 20% | 44% | 50% |
| 8.5 | 12% | 0% | 22% | 0% |
| 10.5 | 6% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
Receiving yards · game by game
Usage & efficiency
Role trajectory is the #1 prop signal. A rising share means more opportunity coming.
Target share
7%
Air-yards share
15%
Rec EPA/game
-4.2
Splits
Receiving yards per game.
Home
45.0
9 g
Away
32.8
8 g
In wins
36.6
9 g
In losses
42.3
8 g
Game log
Every game with the closing spread + total it was played into.
| Wk | Opp | Result | Spread | Total | Tgt | Rec | Yds | TD | AirYd | YAC | Tgt% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @ CLE | L 3-24 | +1 | 46.5 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 10% |
| 2 | vs BAL | L 24-27 | +3.5 | 45.5 | 8 | 6 | 52 | 0 | 27 | 23 | 21% |
| 3 | vs LA | W 19-16 | +3 | 45.5 | 9 | 5 | 39 | 0 | 59 | 20 | 20% |
| 4 | @ TEN | L 3-27 | +2.5 | 41.5 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 0 | 71 | 3 | 26% |
| 5 | @ ARI | W 34-20 | +3 | 45.5 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 0 | 30 | 20 | 16% |
| 6 | vs SEA | W 17-13 | +3 | 45.5 | 7 | 7 | 38 | 1 | 21 | 17 | 20% |
| 8 | @ SF | W 31-17 | -4 | 44 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 9% |
| 9 | vs BUF | W 24-18 | +1.5 | 51 | 5 | 3 | 56 | 0 | 71 | 14 | 12% |
| 10 | vs HOU | L 27-30 | +5.5 | 46 | 12 | 8 | 117 | 0 | 100 | 73 | 31% |
| 11 | @ BAL | L 20-34 | -4 | 46.5 | 6 | 3 | 22 | 0 | 35 | 14 | 19% |
| 12 | vs PIT | L 10-16 | -2 | 36 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 0 | 24 | 3 | 20% |
| 13 | @ JAX | W 34-31 | -10 | 41 | 7 | 5 | 37 | 0 | 30 | 10 | 19% |
| 14 | vs IND | W 34-14 | +3 | 45 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 0 | 23 | 7 | 12% |
| 15 | vs MIN | W 27-24 | +3 | 41.5 | 5 | 2 | 53 | 0 | 13 | 33 | 13% |
| 16 | @ PIT | L 11-34 | +3 | 39.5 | 7 | 5 | 59 | 0 | 42 | 32 | 18% |
| 17 | @ KC | L 17-25 | -7.5 | 46 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 6% |
| 18 | vs CLE | W 31-14 | +7.5 | 37 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 7% |
* = postseason. Spread is this team’s line (− = favored).