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MLB · NL Central

Alex Bregman

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago Cubs3BBats: R · Throws: R
FormHotPowerBelow avg

The read

League-average power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Alex Bregman has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    60%57%66%
  • Over 1.5
    30%30%25%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    20%10%6%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    10%17%9%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    40%43%36%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    30%30%19%
  • Over 3.5▲ hot
    30%23%14%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.245↑

OBP

.336

SLG

.374

OPS

.710

HR

11

K%

16%

Last 10: 12-for-40 (.300) · 1 HR · 7 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 500 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.310
18
Avg Exit V
88.0 mph
46
Barrel %
4.2%
20
Hard-Hit %
45.8%
50
Chase %
21.6%
94
Whiff %
15.2%
90
K %
15.8%
84
BB %
10.8%
78

Where he hits it

27%LF26%LCF14%CF15%RCF9%RF← Pull

49%

Pull

28%

Center

23%

Oppo

Pull-air 36% of BIP · 93.1 mph · 38° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.755OPS125 PA
vs RHP.695OPS375 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

4 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Four-seam136.260.411.3127.3%12.5%45.4%3.6%91.7 mph20.1°
Sinker120.285.304.3374.4%5.8%36.3%3.0%87.4 mph15.1°
Slider120.214.419.30626.7%25.0%34.1%8.2%84.8 mph19.0°
Curveball34.187.219.12626.7%41.2%12.6%0.0%83.0 mph17.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.293
xSLG
.435
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
108.3
EV90
101.3
Launch angle
17.1°
Sweet-spot%
32.6%
Avg distance
284 ft
EV on barrels
102.3
EV on hard-hit
99.8
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
59.7%
O-Contact%
69.9%
Z-Contact%
90.2%
Contact%
84.8%
SwStr%
6.1%
CSW%
27.0%
In-zone%
49.7%
1st-pitch swing%
18.2%
2-strike K%
29.8%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.412
7d K%
9.7%
7d Barrel%
4.0%
7d Whiff%
4.2%
14d xwOBA(con)
.322
14d K%
16.4%
14d Barrel%
2.5%
30d xwOBA(con)
.289
30d K%
17.3%
30d Barrel%
2.7%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.226
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.324
Behind xwOBA(con)
.322
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.311
Ahead Whiff%
11.8%
2-strike Whiff%
14.4%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.343
RISP
.334
Loaded
.060
High leverage
.336
Clutch
.336
Innings 1-3
.304
Innings 4-6
.317
Innings 7+
.309

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.