MLB · NL East
Austin Riley
Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups
The read
Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.
Prop hit rates
How often Austin Riley has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.
Hits
share of games cleared- Over 0.5▲ hot60%53%52%
- Over 1.5▲ hot30%23%22%
- Over 2.50%3%5%
Home runs
share of games cleared- Over 0.5▼ cold0%10%9%
Total bases
share of games cleared- Over 1.540%30%33%
- Over 2.5▼ cold10%17%18%
- Over 3.5▼ cold0%10%9%
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At a glance
AVG
.216↑
OBP
.294
SLG
.351
OPS
.645
HR
12
K%
31%
Power & contact quality
Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 449 PA.
Where he hits it
44%
Pull
28%
Center
29%
Oppo
Pull-air 22% of BIP · 98.1 mph · 37° LA
Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.
Matchups
By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.
6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands
| Pitch | PA↑ | BA | SLG | xwOBA | Whiff% | K% | Hard-hit% | Barrel% | Exit velo | Launch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 26 | .236 | .621 | .369 | 39.0% | 46.2% | 58.0% | 21.3% | 96.0 mph | 22.3° |
| Curveball | 30 | .179 | .284 | .233 | 36.0% | 36.7% | 41.0% | 10.0% | 92.9 mph | 15.5° |
| Changeup | 58 | .189 | .245 | .221 | 38.8% | 32.8% | 38.9% | 2.8% | 89.1 mph | 14.7° |
| Sinker | 86 | .270 | .434 | .322 | 12.3% | 16.3% | 36.0% | 6.4% | 89.2 mph | 9.8° |
| Slider | 103 | .190 | .266 | .251 | 36.0% | 34.9% | 40.2% | 12.9% | 88.6 mph | 18.9° |
| Four-seam | 142 | .212 | .332 | .322 | 25.4% | 31.7% | 52.9% | 15.3% | 93.0 mph | 27.3° |
Full Statcast profile
Expectedestimators not shown above
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.
Recent SkegBets picks
Austin Riley OVER 0.5 Total Bases
Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves · Aug 2, 2026 · -141
Austin Riley OVER 1.5 Total Bases
Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves · Jul 31, 2026 · +160
Austin Riley OVER 0.5 Hits
Texas Rangers vs Atlanta Braves · Jul 18, 2026 · -134
Austin Riley OVER 0.5 Hits
Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates · Jul 7, 2026 · -144
Austin Riley OVER 0.5 Hits
Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets · Jun 13, 2026 · -148