MLB · NL East
Austin Riley
Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups
The read
Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss. Heating up over the last ten.
Prop hit rates
How often Austin Riley has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.
Hits
share of games cleared- Over 0.560%63%53%
- Over 1.530%30%23%
- Over 2.50%3%4%
Home runs
share of games cleared- Over 0.510%13%10%
Total bases
share of games cleared- Over 1.5▲ hot50%40%35%
- Over 2.5▲ hot30%23%20%
- Over 3.510%13%10%
Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.
At a glance
AVG
.223↑
OBP
.298
SLG
.364
OPS
.662
HR
13
K%
31%
Power & contact quality
Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 456 PA.
Where he hits it
44%
Pull
28%
Center
29%
Oppo
Pull-air 23% of BIP · 98.5 mph · 36° LA
Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.
Matchups
By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.
6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands
| Pitch | PA↑ | BA | SLG | xwOBA | Whiff% | K% | Hard-hit% | Barrel% | Exit velo | Launch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 26 | .236 | .621 | .369 | 39.0% | 46.2% | 58.0% | 21.3% | 96.0 mph | 22.3° |
| Curveball | 31 | .207 | .415 | .287 | 35.5% | 35.5% | 45.2% | 16.7% | 93.7 mph | 16.3° |
| Changeup | 58 | .189 | .245 | .221 | 38.8% | 32.8% | 38.9% | 2.8% | 89.1 mph | 14.7° |
| Sinker | 88 | .276 | .449 | .321 | 12.6% | 17.0% | 37.1% | 6.3% | 89.4 mph | 9.9° |
| Slider | 105 | .197 | .271 | .255 | 35.6% | 34.3% | 40.6% | 12.5% | 88.8 mph | 18.3° |
| Four-seam | 143 | .210 | .330 | .320 | 25.1% | 32.2% | 52.9% | 15.3% | 93.0 mph | 27.3° |
Full Statcast profile
Expectedestimators not shown above
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.
Recent SkegBets picks
Austin Riley OVER 0.5 Total Bases
Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves · Aug 2, 2026 · -141
Austin Riley OVER 1.5 Total Bases
Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves · Jul 31, 2026 · +160
Austin Riley OVER 0.5 Hits
Texas Rangers vs Atlanta Braves · Jul 18, 2026 · -134
Austin Riley OVER 0.5 Hits
Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates · Jul 7, 2026 · -144
Austin Riley OVER 0.5 Hits
Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets · Jun 13, 2026 · -148