MLB · NL East

Austin Riley

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Atlanta Braves3BBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerAbove avg

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.

Prop hit rates

How often Austin Riley has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
60%60%53%
Over 1.5
30%27%22%
Over 2.5
0%3%5%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
10%13%10%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▲ hot
50%37%34%
Over 2.5
20%20%19%
Over 3.5
10%13%10%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.220↑

OBP

.296

SLG

.360

OPS

.657

31%

Last 10: 10-for-39 (.256) · 1 HR · 19 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 452 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.381

Avg Exit V

91.0 mph

Barrel %

11.2%

Hard-Hit %

54.1%

Chase %

32.2%

Whiff %

29.4%

K %

30.8%

BB %

7.7%

Where he hits it

44%

Pull

28%

Center

28%

Oppo

Pull-air 23% of BIP · 98.5 mph · 36° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.653OPS149 PA

vs RHP.658OPS303 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Cutter	26	.236	.621	.369	39.0%	46.2%	58.0%	21.3%	96.0 mph	22.3°
Curveball	30	.179	.284	.233	36.0%	36.7%	41.0%	10.0%	92.9 mph	15.5°
Changeup	58	.189	.245	.221	38.8%	32.8%	38.9%	2.8%	89.1 mph	14.7°
Sinker	88	.276	.449	.321	12.2%	17.0%	37.1%	6.3%	89.4 mph	9.9°
Slider	104	.188	.263	.252	35.9%	34.6%	39.6%	12.7%	88.6 mph	18.5°
Four-seam	142	.212	.332	.322	25.2%	31.7%	52.9%	15.3%	93.0 mph	27.3°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.317

xSLG

.584

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

112.2

EV90

106.8

Launch angle

18.5°

Sweet-spot%

31.7%

Avg distance

329 ft

EV on barrels

105.3

EV on hard-hit

103.2

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

67.4%

O-Contact%

51.7%

Z-Contact%

81.8%

Contact%

70.6%

SwStr%

14.1%

CSW%

29.4%

In-zone%

44.7%

1st-pitch swing%

27.4%

2-strike K%

52.4%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.550

7d K%

45.5%

7d Barrel%

20.0%

7d Whiff%

27.5%

14d xwOBA(con)

.430

14d K%

46.8%

14d Barrel%

9.1%

30d xwOBA(con)

.451

30d K%

37.5%

30d Barrel%

13.7%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.377

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.393

Behind xwOBA(con)

.372

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.353

Ahead Whiff%

27.6%

2-strike Whiff%

29.1%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.288

RISP

.333

Loaded

.270

High leverage

.304

Clutch

.248

Innings 1-3

.384

Innings 4-6

.395

Innings 7+

.365

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Austin Riley OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves · Aug 2, 2026 · -141

WIN

Austin Riley OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Washington Nationals vs Atlanta Braves · Jul 31, 2026 · +160

LOSS

Austin Riley OVER 0.5 Hits

Texas Rangers vs Atlanta Braves · Jul 18, 2026 · -134

WIN

Austin Riley OVER 0.5 Hits

Atlanta Braves vs Pittsburgh Pirates · Jul 7, 2026 · -144

WIN

Austin Riley OVER 0.5 Hits

Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets · Jun 13, 2026 · -148

LOSS

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