MLB · AL East

Brandon Valenzuela

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Toronto Blue JaysCBats: S · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerAbove avg

The read

Above-average power.

Prop hit rates

How often Brandon Valenzuela has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
50%53%50%
Over 1.5
20%17%13%
Over 2.5
10%7%5%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
10%13%13%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
30%33%23%
Over 2.5
20%23%17%
Over 3.5
10%17%14%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.237

OBP

.313

SLG

.398

OPS

.710

25%

Last 10: 8-for-34 (.235) · 1 HR · 10 K · 1 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 208 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.395

Avg Exit V

86.7 mph

Barrel %

8.3%

Hard-Hit %

45.9%

Chase %

29.9%

Whiff %

23.5%

K %

25.5%

BB %

10.1%

Where he hits it

48%

Pull

28%

Center

24%

Oppo

Pull-air 37% of BIP · 97.3 mph · 37° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.653OPS58 PA

vs RHP.732OPS150 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · this season · vs right-handed pitchers

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Four-seam	49	.239	.391	.356	15.3%	24.5%	48.6%	11.4%	91.2 mph	23.8°
Changeup	29	.185	.407	.298	35.0%	27.6%	15.8%	10.5%	80.1 mph	6.4°
Sinker	18	.429	.500	.330	18.2%	22.2%	30.0%	0.0%	85.1 mph	18.4°
Curveball	17	.267	.333	.261	38.7%	41.2%	25.0%	0.0%	84.2 mph	11.5°
Slider	16	.133	.533	.308	36.7%	31.3%	40.0%	20.0%	88.2 mph	7.8°
Cutter	14	.250	.250	.391	10.0%	7.1%	27.3%	0.0%	78.2 mph	5.8°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.354

xSLG

.570

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

111.4

EV90

103.6

Launch angle

15.3°

Sweet-spot%

39.9%

Avg distance

345 ft

EV on barrels

104.2

EV on hard-hit

100.9

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

71.7%

O-Contact%

52.4%

Z-Contact%

86.8%

Contact%

76.5%

SwStr%

11.8%

CSW%

26.1%

In-zone%

49.4%

1st-pitch swing%

38.9%

2-strike K%

43.8%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.524

7d K%

25.0%

7d Barrel%

11.1%

7d Whiff%

17.9%

14d xwOBA(con)

.420

14d K%

21.1%

14d Barrel%

7.1%

30d xwOBA(con)

.391

30d K%

28.6%

30d Barrel%

8.3%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.423

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.373

Behind xwOBA(con)

.348

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.353

Ahead Whiff%

18.0%

2-strike Whiff%

23.9%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.321

RISP

.320

Loaded

.000

High leverage

.303

Clutch

.371

Innings 1-3

.401

Innings 4-6

.388

Innings 7+

.396

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Brandon Valenzuela OVER 1.5 Total Bases

St. Louis Cardinals vs Toronto Blue Jays · Jul 31, 2026 · +185

WIN

Brandon Valenzuela OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Tampa Bay Rays vs Toronto Blue Jays · Jul 21, 2026 · -123

LOSS

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