MLB · NL East

Bryce Harper

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Philadelphia Phillies1BBats: L · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.

Prop hit rates

How often Bryce Harper has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▲ hot
70%63%60%
Over 1.5▼ cold
10%13%21%
Over 2.5▼ cold
0%3%8%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
10%13%19%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▲ hot
50%43%41%
Over 2.5
30%27%30%
Over 3.5▼ cold
10%13%22%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.253↓

OBP

.353

SLG

.487

OPS

.840

21%

Last 10: 8-for-37 (.216) · 1 HR · 12 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 468 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.446

Avg Exit V

90.3 mph

Barrel %

11.3%

Hard-Hit %

51.5%

Chase %

34.5%

Whiff %

28.7%

K %

21.1%

BB %

13.7%

Where he hits it

48%

Pull

30%

Center

22%

Oppo

Pull-air 21% of BIP · 98.8 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.621OPS180 PA

vs RHP.972OPS288 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · this season · vs right-handed pitchers

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Four-seam	75	.400	.967	.558	16.9%	17.3%	56.3%	18.8%	95.7 mph	15.5°
Changeup	71	.242	.364	.336	29.2%	16.9%	40.0%	7.3%	89.1 mph	6.1°
Slider	55	.319	.808	.454	43.6%	23.6%	52.9%	23.5%	92.9 mph	21.3°
Sinker	33	.269	.500	.398	14.1%	21.2%	55.0%	10.0%	91.8 mph	-2.3°
Curveball	27	.200	.320	.256	35.3%	18.5%	35.0%	0.0%	87.5 mph	20.7°
Cutter	24	.143	.333	.405	25.0%	12.5%	55.0%	15.0%	90.8 mph	18.6°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.370

xSLG

.679

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

113.5

EV90

106.6

Launch angle

12.8°

Sweet-spot%

38.2%

Avg distance

318 ft

EV on barrels

105.7

EV on hard-hit

102.2

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

74.2%

O-Contact%

51.5%

Z-Contact%

83.9%

Contact%

71.3%

SwStr%

14.6%

CSW%

24.7%

In-zone%

41.9%

1st-pitch swing%

47.9%

2-strike K%

41.3%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.569

7d K%

18.5%

7d Barrel%

16.7%

7d Whiff%

22.4%

14d xwOBA(con)

.486

14d K%

29.4%

14d Barrel%

13.3%

30d xwOBA(con)

.348

30d K%

27.3%

30d Barrel%

7.0%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.392

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.560

Behind xwOBA(con)

.436

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.423

Ahead Whiff%

25.7%

2-strike Whiff%

23.3%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.375

RISP

.357

Loaded

.520

High leverage

.356

Clutch

.420

Innings 1-3

.430

Innings 4-6

.446

Innings 7+

.469

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.