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MLB · AL East

Caleb Durbin

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Boston Red Sox3BBats: R · Throws: R
FormHotPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Caleb Durbin has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    60%67%55%
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    40%30%23%
  • Over 2.5
    10%7%4%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    0%13%9%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    50%47%35%
  • Over 2.5
    20%30%23%
  • Over 3.5▼ cold
    0%13%9%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.241

OBP

.308

SLG

.392

OPS

.700

HR

10

K%

14%

Last 10: 12-for-40 (.300) · 1 HR · 6 K · 4 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 380 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.286
8
Avg Exit V
82.5 mph
4
Barrel %
2.4%
8
Hard-Hit %
32.1%
10
Chase %
28.6%
62
Whiff %
13.3%
95
K %
13.7%
92
BB %
6.8%
33

Where he hits it

26%LF23%LCF17%CF18%RCF8%RF← Pull

45%

Pull

30%

Center

24%

Oppo

Pull-air 37% of BIP · 92.3 mph · 37° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.721OPS105 PA
vs RHP.693OPS275 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

6 pitches · this season · vs left-handed pitchers

PitchPABASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Four-seam38.212.333.3493.4%15.8%38.7%3.2%87.6 mph20.6°
Changeup21.100.150.20730.8%9.5%23.8%4.8%80.0 mph6.2°
Sinker13.333.500.3097.4%0.0%30.8%7.7%84.9 mph10.1°
Slider12.364.909.39216.0%8.3%18.2%9.1%84.4 mph24.2°
Cutter7.286.286.2158.7%28.6%42.9%0.0%86.0 mph-15.7°
Curveball7.667.667.47011.1%0.0%50.0%0.0%86.5 mph-3.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.279
xSLG
.383
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
107.9
EV90
100.2
Launch angle
10.5°
Sweet-spot%
29.7%
Avg distance
242 ft
EV on barrels
103.3
EV on hard-hit
100.0
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
65.6%
O-Contact%
73.2%
Z-Contact%
92.5%
Contact%
86.7%
SwStr%
6.3%
CSW%
23.7%
In-zone%
50.1%
1st-pitch swing%
33.2%
2-strike K%
28.6%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.290
7d K%
13.3%
7d Barrel%
0.0%
7d Whiff%
10.2%
14d xwOBA(con)
.233
14d K%
14.8%
14d Barrel%
0.0%
30d xwOBA(con)
.281
30d K%
10.8%
30d Barrel%
1.3%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.242
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.368
Behind xwOBA(con)
.280
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.283
Ahead Whiff%
11.7%
2-strike Whiff%
10.9%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.293
RISP
.403
Loaded
.313
High leverage
.320
Clutch
.261
Innings 1-3
.276
Innings 4-6
.299
Innings 7+
.283

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

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