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MLB · NL Central

Esmerlyn Valdez

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Pittsburgh PiratesOFBats: R · Throws: R
FormColdPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Esmerlyn Valdez has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    40%73%62%
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    10%27%21%
  • Over 2.5
    0%10%7%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    10%37%31%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    30%60%52%
  • Over 2.5▼ cold
    10%43%38%
  • Over 3.5▼ cold
    10%43%36%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.271↓

OBP

.366

SLG

.650

OPS

1.016

HR

14

K%

35%

Last 10: 6-for-35 (.171) · 2 HR · 13 K · 9 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 164 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.516
99
Avg Exit V
92.3 mph
94
Barrel %
24.7%
100
Hard-Hit %
60.0%
94
Chase %
22.9%
88
Whiff %
35.4%
3
K %
34.8%
2
BB %
12.8%
91

Where he hits it

21%LF18%LCF20%CF19%RCF12%RF← Pull

37%

Pull

33%

Center

31%

Oppo

Pull-air 37% of BIP · 101.0 mph · 39° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP1.296OPS57 PA
vs RHP.869OPS107 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

2 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Sinker31.501.968.47821.2%19.4%51.6%21.0%90.9 mph10.9°
Curveball6.333.833.24826.7%50.0%66.7%33.3%97.9 mph32.0°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.376
xSLG
.885
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
112.7
EV90
106.7
Launch angle
21.7°
Sweet-spot%
35.3%
Avg distance
359 ft
EV on barrels
104.9
EV on hard-hit
102.9
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
67.9%
O-Contact%
47.6%
Z-Contact%
71.0%
Contact%
64.6%
SwStr%
15.6%
CSW%
31.0%
In-zone%
47.3%
1st-pitch swing%
30.5%
2-strike K%
58.2%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.374
7d K%
20.7%
7d Barrel%
11.1%
7d Whiff%
30.9%
14d xwOBA(con)
.416
14d K%
32.2%
14d Barrel%
14.3%
30d xwOBA(con)
.464
30d K%
35.2%
30d Barrel%
21.1%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.477
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.395
Behind xwOBA(con)
.470
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.429
Ahead Whiff%
32.3%
2-strike Whiff%
34.8%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.390
RISP
.523
Loaded
.486
High leverage
.434
Clutch
.541
Innings 1-3
.515
Innings 4-6
.448
Innings 7+
.584

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.