MLB · NL East
Francisco Alvarez
Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups
The read
Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.
Prop hit rates
How often Francisco Alvarez has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.
Hits
share of games cleared- Over 0.560%63%64%
- Over 1.5▼ cold0%17%15%
- Over 2.50%0%1%
Home runs
share of games cleared- Over 0.510%17%13%
Total bases
share of games cleared- Over 1.530%40%32%
- Over 2.510%17%14%
- Over 3.510%17%13%
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At a glance
AVG
.248↓
OBP
.329
SLG
.425
OPS
.754
HR
12
K%
28%
Power & contact quality
Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 286 PA.
Where he hits it
50%
Pull
31%
Center
20%
Oppo
Pull-air 32% of BIP · 94.8 mph · 34° LA
Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.
Matchups
By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.
6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands
| Pitch | PA↑ | BA | SLG | xwOBA | Whiff% | K% | Hard-hit% | Barrel% | Exit velo | Launch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 12 | .100 | .100 | .287 | 36.8% | 33.3% | 42.9% | 14.3% | 89.5 mph | 14.0° |
| Curveball | 15 | .333 | .333 | .261 | 27.4% | 20.0% | 31.1% | 0.0% | 86.0 mph | 5.4° |
| Changeup | 32 | .221 | .479 | .334 | 38.2% | 25.0% | 29.4% | 14.1% | 84.3 mph | -2.3° |
| Four-seam | 68 | .283 | .467 | .374 | 28.4% | 38.2% | 55.6% | 22.2% | 95.1 mph | 20.8° |
| Sinker | 75 | .306 | .500 | .391 | 18.3% | 17.3% | 52.8% | 12.9% | 91.7 mph | 8.0° |
| Slider | 78 | .208 | .417 | .308 | 39.0% | 26.9% | 37.8% | 19.0% | 88.7 mph | 14.6° |
Full Statcast profile
Expectedestimators not shown above
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.