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MLB · NL East

Francisco Alvarez

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

New York MetsCBats: R · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.

Prop hit rates

How often Francisco Alvarez has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    70%63%65%
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    0%20%16%
  • Over 2.5
    0%0%1%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    10%20%13%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    30%43%33%
  • Over 2.5
    10%20%14%
  • Over 3.5
    10%20%13%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.252

OBP

.335

SLG

.435

OPS

.769

HR

12

K%

26%

Last 10: 7-for-32 (.219) · 1 HR · 12 K · 10 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 278 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.432
88
Avg Exit V
90.1 mph
77
Barrel %
17.0%
98
Hard-Hit %
54.4%
82
Chase %
31.9%
40
Whiff %
29.9%
14
K %
26.3%
27
BB %
10.1%
72

Where he hits it

25%LF29%LCF23%CF12%RCF6%RF← Pull

50%

Pull

30%

Center

20%

Oppo

Pull-air 32% of BIP · 94.8 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.663OPS71 PA
vs RHP.806OPS207 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

2 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPABASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Sinker75.306.500.39118.3%17.3%52.8%12.9%91.7 mph8.0°
Slider78.208.417.30838.5%26.9%37.8%19.0%88.7 mph14.6°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.352
xSLG
.673
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
112.6
EV90
107.6
Launch angle
10.5°
Sweet-spot%
33.9%
Avg distance
295 ft
EV on barrels
106.2
EV on hard-hit
103.2
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
63.3%
O-Contact%
52.8%
Z-Contact%
80.8%
Contact%
70.1%
SwStr%
13.7%
CSW%
30.2%
In-zone%
45.0%
1st-pitch swing%
31.5%
2-strike K%
45.3%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.486
7d K%
21.7%
7d Barrel%
27.3%
7d Whiff%
39.4%
14d xwOBA(con)
.547
14d K%
28.9%
14d Barrel%
23.5%
30d xwOBA(con)
.430
30d K%
25.7%
30d Barrel%
16.2%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.423
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.427
Behind xwOBA(con)
.418
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.461
Ahead Whiff%
31.3%
2-strike Whiff%
26.8%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.376
RISP
.307
Loaded
.180
High leverage
.373
Clutch
.416
Innings 1-3
.305
Innings 4-6
.500
Innings 7+
.463

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

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