MLB · NL East
Francisco Alvarez
Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups
The read
Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.
Prop hit rates
How often Francisco Alvarez has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.
Hits
share of games cleared- Over 0.560%63%64%
- Over 1.5▼ cold0%20%16%
- Over 2.50%0%1%
Home runs
share of games cleared- Over 0.510%20%13%
Total bases
share of games cleared- Over 1.5▼ cold20%40%32%
- Over 2.510%20%15%
- Over 3.510%20%13%
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At a glance
AVG
.251
OBP
.332
SLG
.432
OPS
.764
HR
12
K%
26%
Power & contact quality
Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 274 PA.
Where he hits it
50%
Pull
30%
Center
20%
Oppo
Pull-air 32% of BIP · 94.8 mph · 34° LA
Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.
Matchups
By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.
6 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands
| Pitch | PA↑ | BA | SLG | xwOBA | Whiff% | K% | Hard-hit% | Barrel% | Exit velo | Launch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cutter | 3 | .000 | .000 | .573 | 14.3% | 33.3% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 88.8 mph | 15.0° |
| Curveball | 5 | .600 | .600 | .380 | 14.3% | 0.0% | 60.0% | 0.0% | 91.3 mph | 13.4° |
| Changeup | 8 | .000 | .000 | .213 | 48.5% | 37.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 69.9 mph | -10.3° |
| Slider | 17 | .204 | .611 | .361 | 42.1% | 35.3% | 37.5% | 25.0% | 92.0 mph | 33.4° |
| Four-seam | 17 | .229 | .229 | .302 | 26.0% | 29.4% | 33.6% | 0.0% | 88.8 mph | 11.6° |
| Sinker | 19 | .490 | .747 | .433 | 17.4% | 10.5% | 60.2% | 12.9% | 92.8 mph | -2.3° |
Full Statcast profile
Expectedestimators not shown above
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.