Skip to content

MLB · NL Central

Ian Happ

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago CubsOFBats: S · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerAbove avg

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.

Prop hit rates

How often Ian Happ has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    70%60%59%
  • Over 1.5
    20%10%20%
  • Over 2.5
    0%0%3%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    0%7%17%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    30%27%38%
  • Over 2.5
    20%13%25%
  • Over 3.5▼ cold
    10%10%19%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.217

OBP

.322

SLG

.416

OPS

.737

HR

18

K%

31%

Last 10: 9-for-38 (.237) · 0 HR · 14 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 460 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.401
77
Avg Exit V
89.5 mph
69
Barrel %
11.9%
85
Hard-Hit %
51.4%
72
Chase %
24.5%
84
Whiff %
28.5%
20
K %
30.9%
11
BB %
12.2%
88

Where he hits it

10%LF19%LCF16%CF20%RCF28%RF

49%

Pull

29%

Center

22%

Oppo

Pull-air 39% of BIP · 97.0 mph · 37° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.530OPS125 PA
vs RHP.818OPS335 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

1 pitch · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Curveball34.184.294.33646.4%44.1%64.7%14.7%94.2 mph14.9°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.320
xSLG
.633
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
111.5
EV90
105.7
Launch angle
14.9°
Sweet-spot%
33.1%
Avg distance
353 ft
EV on barrels
105.1
EV on hard-hit
102.2
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
65.3%
O-Contact%
49.4%
Z-Contact%
80.4%
Contact%
71.5%
SwStr%
12.5%
CSW%
29.1%
In-zone%
47.5%
1st-pitch swing%
32.5%
2-strike K%
52.4%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.341
7d K%
32.3%
7d Barrel%
11.1%
7d Whiff%
21.2%
14d xwOBA(con)
.330
14d K%
27.6%
14d Barrel%
9.4%
30d xwOBA(con)
.327
30d K%
26.8%
30d Barrel%
5.4%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.449
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.400
Behind xwOBA(con)
.442
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.399
Ahead Whiff%
19.7%
2-strike Whiff%
28.7%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.330
RISP
.328
Loaded
.300
High leverage
.344
Clutch
.469
Innings 1-3
.401
Innings 4-6
.379
Innings 7+
.428

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Ian Happ OVER 0.5 Hits

Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates · Jul 25, 2026 · -131

LOSS

Ian Happ OVER 0.5 Hits

Chicago Cubs vs Pittsburgh Pirates · Jul 24, 2026 · -140

WIN

Ian Happ OVER 0.5 Total Bases

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs · Jul 5, 2026 · -132

LOSS

Ian Happ OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Chicago Cubs vs San Francisco Giants · Jun 13, 2026 · +160

LOSS

Browse the full archive →

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.