MLB · NL Central

JJ Bleday

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Cincinnati RedsOFBats: L · Throws: L

FormColdPowerAbove avg

The read

Above-average power. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often JJ Bleday has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
50%67%62%
Over 1.5▼ cold
0%3%15%
Over 2.5
0%0%4%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
30%20%22%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
30%20%38%
Over 2.5
30%20%27%
Over 3.5
30%20%24%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.225↓

OBP

.333

SLG

.463

OPS

.796

21%

Last 10: 5-for-37 (.135) · 3 HR · 13 K · 7 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 345 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.407

Avg Exit V

88.3 mph

Barrel %

10.4%

Hard-Hit %

51.8%

Chase %

22.8%

Whiff %

24.8%

K %

21.2%

BB %

13.6%

Where he hits it

50%

Pull

31%

Center

18%

Oppo

Pull-air 43% of BIP · 95.4 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.727OPS90 PA

vs RHP.821OPS255 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Four-seam	35	.232	.453	.431	16.3%	8.6%	26.4%	8.0%	88.6 mph	28.8°
Slider	20	.184	.376	.262	24.3%	30.0%	49.4%	15.0%	92.2 mph	34.7°
Changeup	18	.118	.118	.137	42.9%	38.9%	10.0%	0.0%	72.2 mph	6.4°
Sinker	11	.273	.545	.654	3.9%	9.1%	45.5%	27.3%	94.6 mph	13.6°
Cutter	3	.667	2.667	1.020	0.0%	0.0%	66.7%	66.7%	100.7 mph	34.0°
Curveball	3	.000	.000	.233	0.0%	66.7%	—	—	—	—

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.340

xSLG

.612

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

112.6

EV90

104.4

Launch angle

20.4°

Sweet-spot%

42.3%

Avg distance

344 ft

EV on barrels

104.6

EV on hard-hit

101.7

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

70.3%

O-Contact%

50.6%

Z-Contact%

83.5%

Contact%

75.2%

SwStr%

11.4%

CSW%

25.6%

In-zone%

48.4%

1st-pitch swing%

37.1%

2-strike K%

38.7%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.431

7d K%

28.6%

7d Barrel%

20.0%

7d Whiff%

20.4%

14d xwOBA(con)

.422

14d K%

26.4%

14d Barrel%

16.1%

30d xwOBA(con)

.405

30d K%

23.2%

30d Barrel%

12.9%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.357

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.484

Behind xwOBA(con)

.365

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.326

Ahead Whiff%

18.4%

2-strike Whiff%

23.4%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.391

RISP

.328

Loaded

.313

High leverage

.367

Clutch

.433

Innings 1-3

.400

Innings 4-6

.392

Innings 7+

.434

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

JJ Bleday OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds · Jul 31, 2026 · +164

WIN

JJ Bleday OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Kansas City Royals vs Cincinnati Reds · Jun 1, 2026 · +117

WIN

Browse the full archive →

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.