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MLB · AL West

Luke Raley

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Seattle MarinersOFBats: L · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.

Prop hit rates

How often Luke Raley has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    30%40%43%
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    0%3%14%
  • Over 2.5
    0%0%4%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    0%3%15%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    0%17%26%
  • Over 2.5▼ cold
    0%3%19%
  • Over 3.5▼ cold
    0%3%17%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.223

OBP

.279

SLG

.434

OPS

.713

HR

15

K%

32%

Last 10: 4-for-20 (.200) · 1 HR · 8 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 287 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.484
97
Avg Exit V
89.2 mph
63
Barrel %
15.7%
96
Hard-Hit %
54.6%
84
Chase %
34.6%
27
Whiff %
38.5%
1
K %
32.4%
6
BB %
4.9%
14

Where he hits it

12%LF15%LCF12%CF20%RCF31%RFPull →

52%

Pull

22%

Center

26%

Oppo

Pull-air 36% of BIP · 101.9 mph · 37° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.378OPS27 PA
vs RHP.749OPS260 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

2 pitches · this season · vs right-handed pitchers

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Cutter30.346.808.44018.0%16.7%36.4%13.6%87.7 mph17.6°
Four-seam89.253.557.41330.9%25.8%57.6%22.0%91.3 mph24.7°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.390
xSLG
.753
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
113.8
EV90
105.5
Launch angle
13.8°
Sweet-spot%
42.4%
Avg distance
303 ft
EV on barrels
105.8
EV on hard-hit
102.3
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
76.7%
O-Contact%
37.1%
Z-Contact%
74.2%
Contact%
61.5%
SwStr%
20.7%
CSW%
32.3%
In-zone%
46.0%
1st-pitch swing%
37.6%
2-strike K%
57.1%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.329
7d K%
41.7%
7d Barrel%
0.0%
7d Whiff%
43.5%
14d xwOBA(con)
.460
14d K%
32.1%
14d Barrel%
11.8%
30d xwOBA(con)
.405
30d K%
33.3%
30d Barrel%
10.8%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.453
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.543
Behind xwOBA(con)
.397
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.471
Ahead Whiff%
32.5%
2-strike Whiff%
38.5%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.316
RISP
.353
Loaded
.333
High leverage
.322
Clutch
.358
Innings 1-3
.456
Innings 4-6
.540
Innings 7+
.431

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Luke Raley OVER 0.5 Hits

Seattle Mariners vs Miami Marlins · Jul 9, 2026 · -149

WIN

Luke Raley OVER 0.5 Hits

Seattle Mariners vs Miami Marlins · Jul 7, 2026 · -122

WIN

Luke Raley OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners · Jul 5, 2026 · -117

WIN

Luke Raley OVER 0.5 Hits

Seattle Mariners vs Pittsburgh Pirates · Jun 24, 2026 · -109

LOSS

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Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.