MLB · AL Central

Miguel Vargas

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago White Sox3BBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.

Prop hit rates

How often Miguel Vargas has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
70%57%64%
Over 1.5▼ cold
0%13%19%
Over 2.5
0%7%5%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▲ hot
30%17%20%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
40%43%39%
Over 2.5
30%23%25%
Over 3.5
30%20%23%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.237↓

OBP

.340

SLG

.475

OPS

.814

18%

Last 10: 8-for-39 (.205) · 3 HR · 13 K · 4 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 489 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.426

Avg Exit V

90.8 mph

Barrel %

14.5%

Hard-Hit %

54.8%

Chase %

22.4%

Whiff %

18.3%

K %

17.8%

BB %

12.3%

Where he hits it

47%

Pull

29%

Center

24%

Oppo

Pull-air 34% of BIP · 97.5 mph · 36° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.886OPS148 PA

vs RHP.783OPS341 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

5 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Curveball	31	.097	.242	.367	16.2%	12.9%	43.9%	6.5%	83.6 mph	6.1°
Cutter	33	.305	.691	.422	29.5%	12.1%	41.0%	16.1%	86.7 mph	17.7°
Slider	104	.294	.480	.369	23.5%	19.2%	39.4%	13.6%	87.5 mph	19.4°
Sinker	114	.240	.549	.413	6.2%	14.9%	47.3%	16.6%	91.5 mph	17.6°
Four-seam	156	.188	.401	.370	22.4%	23.1%	51.1%	14.6%	94.5 mph	27.8°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.340

xSLG

.663

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

112.9

EV90

104.0

Launch angle

20.5°

Sweet-spot%

41.0%

Avg distance

338 ft

EV on barrels

104.3

EV on hard-hit

101.7

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

69.3%

O-Contact%

71.1%

Z-Contact%

85.3%

Contact%

81.7%

SwStr%

8.3%

CSW%

23.4%

In-zone%

48.6%

1st-pitch swing%

32.7%

2-strike K%

36.9%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.491

7d K%

34.6%

7d Barrel%

14.3%

7d Whiff%

38.3%

14d xwOBA(con)

.423

14d K%

25.9%

14d Barrel%

12.1%

30d xwOBA(con)

.378

30d K%

21.9%

30d Barrel%

12.3%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.411

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.421

Behind xwOBA(con)

.399

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.408

Ahead Whiff%

17.4%

2-strike Whiff%

17.9%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.326

RISP

.420

Loaded

.500

High leverage

.381

Clutch

.277

Innings 1-3

.455

Innings 4-6

.435

Innings 7+

.380

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Miguel Vargas OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays · Jul 31, 2026 · +130

WIN

Miguel Vargas UNDER 0.5 Hits

Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox · Jul 7, 2026 · +176

WIN

Miguel Vargas UNDER 0.5 Hits

Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians · Jul 5, 2026 · +178

LOSS

Miguel Vargas OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees · Jun 17, 2026 · +140

WIN

Miguel Vargas OVER 0.5 HR

Chicago White Sox vs Philadelphia Phillies · Jun 5, 2026 · +460

LOSS

Browse the full archive →

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.