MLB · AL East

Nathan Lukes

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Toronto Blue JaysOFBats: L · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerPoor

At a glance

This season

BA

.310

OBP

.357

SLG

.411

OPS

.768

2 HR · 14 RBI · 22 K (16%) · 6 BB · 140 PA

MLB avg · .247 / .318 / .404 · .722 OPS

Last 10 games

BA

.314

HR

1

RBI

3

K

8

BB

2

11-for-35

Quality of contact

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season (≥80 AB pool). The dot is this player — further right is better on every metric. Based on 140 plate appearances. "xwOBA (con)" is expected wOBA on contact.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.323
25
Avg Exit V
85.2 mph
15
Barrel %
0.9%
2
Hard-Hit %
31.5%
9
Chase %
38.2%
11
Whiff %
16.1%
86
K %
15.7%
83
BB %
4.3%
9

Spray distribution

Where this hitter puts the ball in play. The greener (more saturated) a sector, the larger his share of batted balls there; the pull/center/oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below.

14%LF19%LCF18%CF14%RCF23%RFPull →

42%

Pull

29%

Center

30%

Oppo

Pull-air 24% of BIP · 82.6 mph · 39° LA

Advanced (Statcast)

Advanced — Statcast profilethrough Thu Jun 18
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.332
xSLG
.419
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
107.5
EV90
101.0
Launch angle
11.0°
Sweet-spot%
34.3%
Avg distance
307 ft
EV on barrels
100.8
EV on hard-hit
100.1
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
64.2%
O-Contact%
82.7%
Z-Contact%
84.7%
Contact%
83.9%
SwStr%
8.2%
CSW%
24.4%
In-zone%
48.8%
1st-pitch swing%
29.8%
2-strike K%
28.9%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.249
7d K%
21.7%
7d Barrel%
0.0%
7d Whiff%
28.3%
14d xwOBA(con)
.256
14d K%
22.2%
14d Barrel%
0.0%
30d xwOBA(con)
.344
30d K%
17.9%
30d Barrel%
1.6%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.294
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.302
Behind xwOBA(con)
.354
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.298
Ahead Whiff%
12.0%
2-strike Whiff%
10.3%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.352
RISP
.289
Loaded
.417
High leverage
.382
Clutch
.337
Innings 1-3
.331
Innings 4-6
.286
Innings 7+
.344

Statcast-derived from our pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Split by opposing hand

Hits righties much harder than lefties.

StatLeaguevs Leftiesvs Righties
BA.247.150.339
OBP.318.261.376
SLG.404.150.459
OPS.722.411.835
Sample—23 PA117 PA

Pitch-by-pitch breakdown

How he performs against each pitch. Filter by pitch type, opposing pitcher hand, or recency. Color signal: green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

4 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Curveball14.286.429.37413.0%14.3%50.0%0.0%89.1 mph16.0°
Slider19.353.654.29323.1%15.8%23.4%0.0%82.4 mph11.8°
Changeup20.400.550.27711.1%5.0%21.7%4.3%84.9 mph6.8°
Four-seam37.364.394.32313.1%18.9%40.0%0.0%86.9 mph16.5°

Recent SkegBets picks

Nathan Lukes OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox · Jun 18, 2026 · +145

WIN

Nathan Lukes OVER 1.5 Total Bases

New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays · Jun 12, 2026 · +195

LOSS

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