MLB · NL Central

Nathaniel Lowe

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Cincinnati RedsDHBats: L · Throws: R

FormHotPowerAbove avg

At a glance

This season

.252

OBP

.339

SLG

.484

OPS

.823

9 HR · 26 RBI · 42 K (23%) · 21 BB · 180 PA

MLB avg · .247 / .318 / .404 · .722 OPS

Last 10 games

.318

RBI

7-for-22

Quality of contact

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season (≥80 AB pool). The dot is this player — further right is better on every metric. Based on 180 plate appearances. "xwOBA (con)" is expected wOBA on contact.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.452

Avg Exit V

89.1 mph

Barrel %

12.2%

Hard-Hit %

44.4%

Chase %

26.5%

Whiff %

16.6%

K %

23.3%

BB %

11.7%

Spray distribution

Where this hitter puts the ball in play. The greener (more saturated) a sector, the larger his share of batted balls there; the pull/center/oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below.

51%

Pull

24%

Center

24%

Oppo

Pull-air 41% of BIP · 96.8 mph · 34° LA

Advanced (Statcast)

Advanced — Statcast profilethrough Wed Jun 17

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.379

xSLG

.690

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

111.2

EV90

104.2

Launch angle

13.6°

Sweet-spot%

38.5%

Avg distance

354 ft

EV on barrels

104.7

EV on hard-hit

101.6

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

73.4%

O-Contact%

50.4%

Z-Contact%

88.0%

Contact%

75.6%

SwStr%

12.4%

CSW%

26.5%

In-zone%

46.5%

1st-pitch swing%

23.3%

2-strike K%

42.7%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.265

7d K%

18.8%

7d Barrel%

0.0%

7d Whiff%

17.1%

14d xwOBA(con)

.328

14d K%

11.4%

14d Barrel%

3.7%

30d xwOBA(con)

.348

30d K%

10.8%

30d Barrel%

5.5%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.312

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.465

Behind xwOBA(con)

.335

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.337

Ahead Whiff%

16.8%

2-strike Whiff%

20.4%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.355

RISP

.345

Loaded

.180

High leverage

.377

Clutch

.416

Innings 1-3

.435

Innings 4-6

.472

Innings 7+

.440

Statcast-derived from our pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Split by opposing hand

Hits righties much harder than lefties.

Stat	League	vs Lefties	vs Righties
BA	.247	.000	.280
OBP	.318	.059	.368
SLG	.404	.000	.538
OPS	.722	.059	.907
Sample	—	17 PA	163 PA

Pitch-by-pitch breakdown

How he performs against each pitch. Filter by pitch type, opposing pitcher hand, or recency. Color signal: green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

4 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Four-seam	68	.242	.290	.353	13.5%	20.6%	31.5%	5.6%	85.7 mph	10.4°
Changeup	35	.273	.636	.402	17.0%	25.7%	44.0%	16.0%	90.5 mph	14.8°
Sinker	26	.173	.346	.399	19.4%	23.1%	67.7%	9.9%	92.4 mph	9.1°
Cutter	11	.600	1.500	.590	9.5%	18.2%	75.0%	50.0%	97.2 mph	18.9°

Recent SkegBets picks

Nathaniel Lowe OVER 0.5 Hits

Cincinnati Reds vs New York Mets · May 27, 2026 · -155

WIN

Browse the full archive →