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MLB · NL Central

Nico Hoerner

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago Cubs2BBats: R · Throws: R
FormHotPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Nico Hoerner has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    70%70%69%
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    50%33%25%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    30%13%9%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▲ hot
    30%10%6%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    50%40%36%
  • Over 2.5▲ hot
    50%23%15%
  • Over 3.5▲ hot
    40%20%12%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.262↑

OBP

.323

SLG

.366

OPS

.689

HR

7

K%

9%

Last 10: 16-for-37 (.432) · 3 HR · 6 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 499 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.321
24
Avg Exit V
86.1 mph
27
Barrel %
1.2%
3
Hard-Hit %
30.4%
7
Chase %
31.5%
43
Whiff %
11.4%
98
K %
8.8%
100
BB %
7.6%
41

Where he hits it

18%LF23%LCF20%CF17%RCF16%RF← Pull

37%

Pull

31%

Center

33%

Oppo

Pull-air 27% of BIP · 87.1 mph · 37° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.763OPS134 PA
vs RHP.661OPS365 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

2 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Slider19.446.780.32934.9%31.6%33.3%8.3%87.3 mph15.1°
Four-seam31.268.335.3188.8%12.9%34.6%0.0%91.3 mph12.2°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.330
xSLG
.417
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
105.8
EV90
99.9
Launch angle
12.7°
Sweet-spot%
38.9%
Avg distance
256 ft
EV on barrels
98.8
EV on hard-hit
98.8
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
61.0%
O-Contact%
75.1%
Z-Contact%
95.8%
Contact%
88.6%
SwStr%
5.2%
CSW%
24.4%
In-zone%
49.2%
1st-pitch swing%
23.8%
2-strike K%
21.6%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.413
7d K%
17.9%
7d Barrel%
9.1%
7d Whiff%
22.9%
14d xwOBA(con)
.421
14d K%
15.7%
14d Barrel%
4.9%
30d xwOBA(con)
.392
30d K%
12.8%
30d Barrel%
2.4%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.362
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.303
Behind xwOBA(con)
.295
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.305
Ahead Whiff%
8.2%
2-strike Whiff%
10.4%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.316
RISP
.296
Loaded
.236
High leverage
.345
Clutch
.355
Innings 1-3
.289
Innings 4-6
.337
Innings 7+
.338

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Nico Hoerner OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs · Jun 16, 2026 · +165

LOSS

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