MLB · NL Central

Nico Hoerner

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Chicago Cubs2BBats: R · Throws: R

FormHotPowerPoor

The read

Contact-oriented with limited power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach. Heating up over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Nico Hoerner has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
70%70%69%
Over 1.5▲ hot
50%30%24%
Over 2.5▲ hot
20%10%8%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▲ hot
30%10%6%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▲ hot
50%37%36%
Over 2.5▲ hot
40%20%14%
Over 3.5▲ hot
30%17%11%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.257↑

OBP

.319

SLG

.360

OPS

.679

Last 10: 15-for-37 (.405) · 3 HR · 5 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 495 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.320

Avg Exit V

86.1 mph

Barrel %

1.2%

Hard-Hit %

30.1%

Chase %

31.5%

Whiff %

11.3%

K %

8.7%

100

BB %

7.7%

Where he hits it

36%

Pull

31%

Center

33%

Oppo

Pull-air 27% of BIP · 87.1 mph · 37° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.759OPS132 PA

vs RHP.650OPS363 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

3 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Changeup	54	.158	.257	.244	23.3%	20.4%	23.7%	2.1%	83.2 mph	11.8°
Slider	96	.369	.526	.313	19.2%	11.5%	24.3%	1.2%	84.2 mph	12.1°
Sinker	116	.260	.325	.346	3.3%	5.2%	31.4%	0.0%	86.1 mph	3.8°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.330

xSLG

.417

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

105.8

EV90

99.8

Launch angle

12.9°

Sweet-spot%

39.0%

Avg distance

257 ft

EV on barrels

98.8

EV on hard-hit

98.8

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

61.1%

O-Contact%

75.0%

Z-Contact%

96.0%

Contact%

88.6%

SwStr%

5.2%

CSW%

24.3%

In-zone%

49.0%

1st-pitch swing%

23.8%

2-strike K%

21.3%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.430

7d K%

16.0%

7d Barrel%

10.0%

7d Whiff%

23.8%

14d xwOBA(con)

.415

14d K%

15.7%

14d Barrel%

4.9%

30d xwOBA(con)

.394

30d K%

12.2%

30d Barrel%

2.4%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.362

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.303

Behind xwOBA(con)

.294

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.305

Ahead Whiff%

8.2%

2-strike Whiff%

10.2%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.312

RISP

.299

Loaded

.236

High leverage

.342

Clutch

.355

Innings 1-3

.288

Innings 4-6

.338

Innings 7+

.337

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Nico Hoerner OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Colorado Rockies vs Chicago Cubs · Jun 16, 2026 · +165

LOSS

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