MLB · NL West

Nolan Arenado

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Arizona Diamondbacks3BBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerAverage

The read

League-average power.

Prop hit rates

How often Nolan Arenado has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
40%63%63%
Over 1.5▲ hot
30%20%17%
Over 2.5
10%7%3%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
20%23%13%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
40%50%36%
Over 2.5▲ hot
30%33%21%
Over 3.5▲ hot
30%27%16%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.243

OBP

.318

SLG

.423

OPS

.740

21%

Last 10: 8-for-31 (.258) · 2 HR · 5 K · 7 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 406 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.336

Avg Exit V

85.3 mph

Barrel %

7.2%

Hard-Hit %

44.6%

Chase %

30.5%

Whiff %

21.7%

K %

20.9%

BB %

8.6%

Where he hits it

49%

Pull

32%

Center

19%

Oppo

Pull-air 42% of BIP · 93.1 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.793OPS105 PA

vs RHP.722OPS301 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Slider	116	.192	.269	.245	29.5%	27.6%	19.2%	2.8%	81.1 mph	16.8°
Four-seam	111	.281	.572	.362	13.2%	17.1%	43.8%	11.5%	89.0 mph	26.7°
Sinker	78	.332	.534	.330	9.7%	9.0%	40.5%	9.4%	87.4 mph	10.2°
Changeup	48	.157	.290	.223	33.7%	35.4%	20.2%	2.5%	82.8 mph	11.8°
Curveball	23	.130	.174	.195	25.8%	30.4%	29.6%	0.0%	81.9 mph	17.4°
Cutter	22	.315	.577	.423	24.3%	13.6%	29.1%	5.7%	81.7 mph	19.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.312

xSLG

.478

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

107.5

EV90

102.0

Launch angle

17.4°

Sweet-spot%

35.6%

Avg distance

290 ft

EV on barrels

102.4

EV on hard-hit

100.2

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

62.4%

O-Contact%

65.8%

Z-Contact%

85.6%

Contact%

78.3%

SwStr%

9.7%

CSW%

27.6%

In-zone%

45.5%

1st-pitch swing%

24.9%

2-strike K%

37.6%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.319

7d K%

20.8%

7d Barrel%

5.9%

7d Whiff%

23.8%

14d xwOBA(con)

.366

14d K%

17.6%

14d Barrel%

8.6%

30d xwOBA(con)

.356

30d K%

21.9%

30d Barrel%

9.5%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.375

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.373

Behind xwOBA(con)

.299

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.329

Ahead Whiff%

22.3%

2-strike Whiff%

19.1%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.339

RISP

.320

Loaded

.389

High leverage

.341

Clutch

.316

Innings 1-3

.312

Innings 4-6

.363

Innings 7+

.322

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Nolan Arenado OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians · Aug 2, 2026 · -135

Browse the full archive →

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.