MLB · NL West

Nolan Arenado

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Arizona Diamondbacks3BBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerAverage

The read

League-average power.

Prop hit rates

How often Nolan Arenado has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
40%63%63%
Over 1.5
20%20%17%
Over 2.5
10%7%3%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
20%27%14%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
30%50%36%
Over 2.5▲ hot
30%37%21%
Over 3.5▲ hot
30%30%17%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.243↓

OBP

.321

SLG

.426

OPS

.747

21%

Last 10: 7-for-34 (.206) · 2 HR · 7 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 418 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.337

Avg Exit V

85.3 mph

Barrel %

7.4%

Hard-Hit %

44.6%

Chase %

30.3%

Whiff %

21.7%

K %

20.8%

BB %

8.8%

Where he hits it

48%

Pull

32%

Center

20%

Oppo

Pull-air 43% of BIP · 93.4 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.805OPS106 PA

vs RHP.726OPS312 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · this season · vs right-handed pitchers

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Cutter	15	.462	.846	.464	31.4%	13.3%	33.3%	8.3%	82.5 mph	26.8°
Curveball	17	.176	.235	.182	20.6%	29.4%	30.8%	0.0%	83.5 mph	22.6°
Changeup	28	.130	.217	.191	33.9%	42.9%	8.3%	0.0%	78.9 mph	24.5°
Sinker	65	.386	.614	.366	9.5%	9.2%	38.5%	9.6%	87.8 mph	7.5°
Four-seam	79	.203	.406	.311	15.8%	20.3%	39.7%	10.3%	88.6 mph	27.1°
Slider	103	.185	.272	.251	28.2%	28.2%	19.1%	3.2%	79.9 mph	16.9°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.312

xSLG

.480

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

107.5

EV90

102.0

Launch angle

17.8°

Sweet-spot%

35.1%

Avg distance

293 ft

EV on barrels

102.3

EV on hard-hit

100.2

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

62.2%

O-Contact%

66.2%

Z-Contact%

85.3%

Contact%

78.3%

SwStr%

9.7%

CSW%

27.6%

In-zone%

45.3%

1st-pitch swing%

24.6%

2-strike K%

37.5%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.351

7d K%

16.0%

7d Barrel%

11.8%

7d Whiff%

22.2%

14d xwOBA(con)

.348

14d K%

14.0%

14d Barrel%

9.1%

30d xwOBA(con)

.365

30d K%

21.0%

30d Barrel%

10.9%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.375

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.378

Behind xwOBA(con)

.296

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.323

Ahead Whiff%

21.6%

2-strike Whiff%

18.9%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.339

RISP

.317

Loaded

.389

High leverage

.348

Clutch

.323

Innings 1-3

.308

Innings 4-6

.356

Innings 7+

.338

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Nolan Arenado OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians · Aug 2, 2026 · -135

LOSS

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