MLB · NL West

Nolan Arenado

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Arizona Diamondbacks3BBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerAverage

The read

League-average power.

Prop hit rates

How often Nolan Arenado has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▼ cold
30%60%62%
Over 1.5▲ hot
30%20%17%
Over 2.5
10%7%3%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
10%23%13%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
30%50%36%
Over 2.5
20%33%21%
Over 3.5
20%27%16%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.242

OBP

.320

SLG

.420

OPS

.740

21%

Last 10: 7-for-32 (.219) · 1 HR · 6 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 410 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.335

Avg Exit V

85.3 mph

Barrel %

7.2%

Hard-Hit %

44.4%

Chase %

30.3%

Whiff %

21.8%

K %

21.0%

BB %

8.8%

Where he hits it

49%

Pull

32%

Center

19%

Oppo

Pull-air 42% of BIP · 93.1 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.793OPS105 PA

vs RHP.721OPS305 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Cutter	5	.300	.300	.456	12.0%	0.0%	20.0%	0.0%	81.6 mph	26.3°
Curveball	6	.167	.167	.083	54.6%	83.3%	100.0%	0.0%	101.4 mph	3.0°
Changeup	12	.167	.667	.315	33.8%	25.0%	19.4%	19.4%	83.4 mph	-1.0°
Sinker	13	.168	.252	.324	0.0%	7.7%	36.9%	0.0%	85.4 mph	3.1°
Slider	25	.224	.362	.287	28.2%	24.0%	32.5%	6.1%	80.7 mph	7.6°
Four-seam	29	.391	.917	.371	12.7%	17.2%	55.2%	16.7%	90.8 mph	28.2°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.311

xSLG

.476

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

107.5

EV90

102.0

Launch angle

17.3°

Sweet-spot%

35.5%

Avg distance

292 ft

EV on barrels

102.4

EV on hard-hit

100.2

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

62.3%

O-Contact%

65.4%

Z-Contact%

85.7%

Contact%

78.2%

SwStr%

9.7%

CSW%

27.6%

In-zone%

45.3%

1st-pitch swing%

24.9%

2-strike K%

37.7%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.318

7d K%

26.1%

7d Barrel%

7.1%

7d Whiff%

28.2%

14d xwOBA(con)

.340

14d K%

17.6%

14d Barrel%

6.1%

30d xwOBA(con)

.351

30d K%

22.1%

30d Barrel%

10.0%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.375

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.369

Behind xwOBA(con)

.299

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.326

Ahead Whiff%

22.3%

2-strike Whiff%

19.1%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.338

RISP

.320

Loaded

.389

High leverage

.342

Clutch

.316

Innings 1-3

.312

Innings 4-6

.360

Innings 7+

.322

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Nolan Arenado OVER 0.5 Total Bases

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Cleveland Guardians · Aug 2, 2026 · -135

LOSS

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