MLB · NL West
Rafael Devers
Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

The read
Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.
Prop hit rates
How often Rafael Devers has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.
Hits
share of games cleared- Over 0.5▼ cold40%57%63%
- Over 1.520%27%25%
- Over 2.510%10%4%
Home runs
share of games cleared- Over 0.5▼ cold10%27%18%
Total bases
share of games cleared- Over 1.5▼ cold30%40%41%
- Over 2.5▼ cold20%33%29%
- Over 3.5▼ cold10%27%22%
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At a glance
AVG
.246
OBP
.314
SLG
.471
OPS
.785
HR
23
K%
27%
Power & contact quality
Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 484 PA.
Where he hits it
42%
Pull
30%
Center
28%
Oppo
Pull-air 26% of BIP · 96.5 mph · 36° LA
Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.
Matchups
By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.
6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands
| Pitch | PA↓ | BA | SLG | xwOBA | Whiff% | K% | Hard-hit% | Barrel% | Exit velo | Launch |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Four-seam | 177 | .216 | .509 | .335 | 35.2% | 39.0% | 61.1% | 19.3% | 95.5 mph | 20.4° |
| Slider | 92 | .182 | .382 | .282 | 32.1% | 29.3% | 36.7% | 10.0% | 87.8 mph | 19.3° |
| Changeup | 71 | .310 | .457 | .359 | 17.1% | 12.7% | 48.2% | 8.5% | 92.3 mph | 10.5° |
| Sinker | 66 | .312 | .491 | .311 | 10.2% | 15.2% | 58.0% | 7.8% | 90.7 mph | 7.3° |
| Cutter | 46 | .375 | .701 | .399 | 24.3% | 15.2% | 42.5% | 9.3% | 93.3 mph | 15.1° |
| Curveball | 20 | .176 | .353 | .258 | 18.9% | 25.0% | 50.0% | 0.0% | 93.4 mph | -2.6° |
Full Statcast profile
Expectedestimators not shown above
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.