MLB · AL West

Rob Refsnyder

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Seattle MarinersDHBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerAverage

The read

League-average power, with plenty of swing-and-miss.

Prop hit rates

How often Rob Refsnyder has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
20%27%26%
Over 1.5
10%7%4%
Over 2.5
0%0%0%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
10%7%8%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
10%10%9%
Over 2.5
10%7%8%
Over 3.5
10%7%8%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.138

OBP

.202

SLG

.250

OPS

.452

29%

Last 10: 3-for-25 (.120) · 1 HR · 7 K · 0 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 129 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.317

Avg Exit V

86.0 mph

Barrel %

8.6%

Hard-Hit %

44.4%

Chase %

25.7%

Whiff %

25.5%

K %

28.7%

BB %

5.4%

Where he hits it

51%

Pull

20%

Center

30%

Oppo

Pull-air 38% of BIP · 93.2 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.494OPS108 PA

vs RHP.243OPS21 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

6 pitches · this season · vs left-handed pitchers

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Four-seam	38	.200	.400	.277	18.7%	28.9%	45.8%	12.5%	86.9 mph	36.0°
Slider	18	.143	.357	.255	35.5%	44.4%	42.9%	14.3%	92.6 mph	15.0°
Changeup	16	.077	.308	.270	27.3%	25.0%	33.3%	8.3%	87.1 mph	14.5°
Curveball	12	.182	.182	.131	23.5%	41.7%	16.7%	0.0%	82.6 mph	0.8°
Cutter	11	.100	.100	.260	25.0%	0.0%	9.1%	9.1%	80.1 mph	18.5°
Sinker	11	.091	.091	.279	21.7%	27.3%	50.0%	10.0%	90.5 mph	1.0°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.252

xSLG

.469

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

112.3

EV90

101.9

Launch angle

18.3°

Sweet-spot%

27.2%

Avg distance

273 ft

EV on barrels

105.3

EV on hard-hit

101.3

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

64.8%

O-Contact%

50.7%

Z-Contact%

84.6%

Contact%

74.5%

SwStr%

11.3%

CSW%

29.6%

In-zone%

47.8%

1st-pitch swing%

27.9%

2-strike K%

49.3%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.740

7d K%

50.0%

7d Barrel%

50.0%

7d Whiff%

35.0%

14d xwOBA(con)

.740

14d K%

50.0%

14d Barrel%

50.0%

30d xwOBA(con)

.740

30d K%

50.0%

30d Barrel%

50.0%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.393

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.417

Behind xwOBA(con)

.194

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.302

Ahead Whiff%

24.7%

2-strike Whiff%

28.0%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.202

RISP

.207

Loaded

.000

High leverage

.172

Clutch

.440

Innings 1-3

.280

Innings 4-6

.361

Innings 7+

.306

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Rob Refsnyder OVER 0.5 Hits

Seattle Mariners vs Cleveland Guardians · Jun 26, 2026 · +111

LOSS

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