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MLB · AL Central

Trevor Larnach

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Minnesota TwinsOFBats: L · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerAverage

The read

League-average power. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Trevor Larnach has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    50%60%57%
  • Over 1.5
    20%33%24%
  • Over 2.5
    0%7%6%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    10%10%9%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    20%37%34%
  • Over 2.5
    20%30%21%
  • Over 3.5
    10%23%15%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.279↓

OBP

.365

SLG

.434

OPS

.799

HR

8

K%

17%

Last 10: 7-for-30 (.233) · 1 HR · 6 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 329 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.357
49
Avg Exit V
87.1 mph
35
Barrel %
7.4%
51
Hard-Hit %
46.1%
52
Chase %
29.0%
59
Whiff %
24.1%
40
K %
17.3%
79
BB %
10.9%
80

Where he hits it

11%LF10%LCF21%CF20%RCF25%RFPull →

47%

Pull

30%

Center

23%

Oppo

Pull-air 35% of BIP · 91.8 mph · 36° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.586OPS42 PA
vs RHP.830OPS287 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

3 pitches · this season · vs left-handed pitchers

PitchPA↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Four-seam18.154.385.4484.0%5.6%23.1%7.7%80.2 mph3.2°
Slider13.077.077.15355.6%46.2%28.6%0.0%83.8 mph12.7°
Sinker5.4001.000.2950.0%0.0%16.7%16.7%76.7 mph11.3°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.328
xSLG
.503
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
108.8
EV90
104.5
Launch angle
13.7°
Sweet-spot%
40.4%
Avg distance
253 ft
EV on barrels
103.2
EV on hard-hit
102.4
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
58.4%
O-Contact%
56.6%
Z-Contact%
86.8%
Contact%
75.8%
SwStr%
10.3%
CSW%
29.5%
In-zone%
46.5%
1st-pitch swing%
22.4%
2-strike K%
33.1%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.196
7d K%
20.0%
7d Barrel%
0.0%
7d Whiff%
25.9%
14d xwOBA(con)
.295
14d K%
18.8%
14d Barrel%
8.3%
30d xwOBA(con)
.347
30d K%
16.4%
30d Barrel%
8.3%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.476
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.392
Behind xwOBA(con)
.316
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.317
Ahead Whiff%
21.0%
2-strike Whiff%
18.5%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.349
RISP
.419
Loaded
.764
High leverage
.371
Clutch
.293
Innings 1-3
.411
Innings 4-6
.319
Innings 7+
.314

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Trevor Larnach OVER 0.5 Hits

Minnesota Twins vs Chicago Cubs · Jul 18, 2026 · -115

LOSS

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Learn the betting side

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