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MLB · AL East

Victor Mesa Jr.

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Tampa Bay RaysOFBats: L · Throws: L
FormSteadyPowerAbove avg

The read

Above-average power. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Victor Mesa Jr. has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    30%43%43%
  • Over 1.5
    10%13%11%
  • Over 2.5
    0%3%2%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    0%20%17%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    10%30%23%
  • Over 2.5▼ cold
    0%23%19%
  • Over 3.5▼ cold
    0%20%17%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.199↓

OBP

.279

SLG

.397

OPS

.676

HR

8

K%

24%

Last 10: 5-for-33 (.152) · 1 HR · 11 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 147 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.368
59
Avg Exit V
86.3 mph
28
Barrel %
11.5%
82
Hard-Hit %
51.0%
68
Chase %
34.7%
24
Whiff %
21.3%
60
K %
24.5%
37
BB %
10.2%
73

Where he hits it

9%LF16%LCF16%CF16%RCF29%RFPull →

46%

Pull

27%

Center

27%

Oppo

Pull-air 35% of BIP · 94.0 mph · 36° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.646OPS29 PA
vs RHP.683OPS118 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

4 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Cutter7.286.714.34222.2%28.6%40.0%20.0%86.6 mph35.4°
Sinker20.215.460.3097.0%25.0%38.3%10.8%85.3 mph-4.7°
Slider24.250.750.29817.8%29.2%35.9%17.7%86.3 mph34.7°
Four-seam52.075.150.26224.7%26.9%40.3%10.8%88.0 mph36.4°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.317
xSLG
.556
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
110.4
EV90
105.3
Launch angle
19.0°
Sweet-spot%
33.3%
Avg distance
356 ft
EV on barrels
106.0
EV on hard-hit
101.4
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
76.6%
O-Contact%
64.4%
Z-Contact%
86.3%
Contact%
78.7%
SwStr%
11.5%
CSW%
22.8%
In-zone%
46.1%
1st-pitch swing%
44.2%
2-strike K%
43.8%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.321
7d K%
22.2%
7d Barrel%
14.3%
7d Whiff%
23.1%
14d xwOBA(con)
.334
14d K%
29.0%
14d Barrel%
10.0%
30d xwOBA(con)
.386
30d K%
24.6%
30d Barrel%
15.0%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.247
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.495
Behind xwOBA(con)
.272
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.401
Ahead Whiff%
18.8%
2-strike Whiff%
24.5%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.304
RISP
.279
Loaded
.300
High leverage
.246
Clutch
.470
Innings 1-3
.357
Innings 4-6
.379
Innings 7+
.367

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Victor Mesa Jr. OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays · Jul 31, 2026 · +164

LOSS

Victor Mesa Jr. OVER 0.5 Hits

Seattle Mariners vs Tampa Bay Rays · Jul 12, 2026 · -141

LOSS

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Learn the betting side

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