MLB · AL East

Victor Mesa Jr.

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Tampa Bay RaysOFBats: L · Throws: L

FormSteadyPowerAbove avg

The read

Above-average power.

Prop hit rates

How often Victor Mesa Jr. has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
50%43%44%
Over 1.5
10%13%11%
Over 2.5
0%3%2%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
20%20%18%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
30%30%24%
Over 2.5
20%23%20%
Over 3.5
20%20%18%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.210

OBP

.293

SLG

.419

OPS

.712

25%

Last 10: 7-for-34 (.206) · 3 HR · 11 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 140 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.366

Avg Exit V

85.8 mph

Barrel %

10.0%

Hard-Hit %

51.1%

Chase %

34.5%

Whiff %

21.0%

K %

25.0%

BB %

10.7%

Where he hits it

46%

Pull

28%

Center

27%

Oppo

Pull-air 36% of BIP · 95.9 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.646OPS29 PA

vs RHP.730OPS111 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

5 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Cutter	7	.286	.714	.342	22.2%	28.6%	40.0%	20.0%	86.6 mph	35.4°
Sinker	18	.239	.511	.328	7.7%	22.2%	41.7%	12.0%	86.3 mph	0.1°
Changeup	23	.391	.565	.502	16.2%	13.0%	65.0%	10.0%	91.8 mph	5.2°
Slider	24	.250	.750	.298	17.1%	29.2%	35.9%	17.7%	86.3 mph	34.7°
Four-seam	48	.083	.167	.228	25.9%	29.2%	29.2%	4.2%	85.7 mph	38.0°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.321

xSLG

.545

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

109.1

EV90

104.9

Launch angle

18.6°

Sweet-spot%

33.3%

Avg distance

359 ft

EV on barrels

106.0

EV on hard-hit

101.4

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

76.5%

O-Contact%

66.3%

Z-Contact%

85.7%

Contact%

79.0%

SwStr%

11.3%

CSW%

22.6%

In-zone%

45.7%

1st-pitch swing%

42.9%

2-strike K%

43.6%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.287

7d K%

30.8%

7d Barrel%

0.0%

7d Whiff%

21.9%

14d xwOBA(con)

.410

14d K%

34.4%

14d Barrel%

10.5%

30d xwOBA(con)

.349

30d K%

27.9%

30d Barrel%

10.5%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.210

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.506

Behind xwOBA(con)

.289

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.411

Ahead Whiff%

19.0%

2-strike Whiff%

24.0%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.318

RISP

.309

Loaded

.300

High leverage

.264

Clutch

.470

Innings 1-3

.360

Innings 4-6

.383

Innings 7+

.351

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Victor Mesa Jr. OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Chicago White Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays · Jul 31, 2026 · +164

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Victor Mesa Jr. OVER 0.5 Hits

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