MLB · AL East

Vladimir Guerrero Jr.

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Toronto Blue Jays1BBats: R · Throws: R

FormSteadyPowerAverage

The read

Above-average power, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.

Prop hit rates

How often Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
70%63%63%
Over 1.5
30%20%27%
Over 2.5
10%3%8%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
0%7%6%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5▲ hot
60%40%37%
Over 2.5
10%13%17%
Over 3.5▼ cold
0%7%11%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.261↑

OBP

.332

SLG

.353

OPS

.685

13%

Last 10: 11-for-38 (.289) · 0 HR · 5 K · 2 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 440 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.356

Avg Exit V

90.4 mph

Barrel %

6.9%

Hard-Hit %

50.7%

Chase %

31.0%

Whiff %

18.0%

K %

13.0%

BB %

9.1%

Where he hits it

39%

Pull

30%

Center

31%

Oppo

Pull-air 18% of BIP · 91.7 mph · 38° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.781OPS101 PA

vs RHP.657OPS339 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↓BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

6 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↓	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Sinker	119	.369	.495	.356	5.9%	5.9%	48.4%	5.7%	92.4 mph	-0.4°
Slider	105	.201	.243	.299	22.4%	17.1%	35.7%	8.8%	86.6 mph	14.7°
Four-seam	76	.334	.455	.387	16.7%	13.2%	49.5%	6.9%	92.4 mph	14.5°
Changeup	58	.254	.364	.328	23.9%	13.8%	47.9%	2.0%	90.1 mph	3.6°
Cutter	43	.107	.191	.338	22.8%	14.0%	41.2%	12.3%	91.4 mph	12.2°
Curveball	27	.208	.249	.379	29.9%	22.2%	51.0%	10.6%	91.8 mph	7.7°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.341

xSLG

.485

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

116.0

EV90

108.5

Launch angle

8.0°

Sweet-spot%

31.2%

Avg distance

257 ft

EV on barrels

106.8

EV on hard-hit

103.7

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

68.5%

O-Contact%

72.4%

Z-Contact%

87.2%

Contact%

82.0%

SwStr%

8.5%

CSW%

22.9%

In-zone%

44.9%

1st-pitch swing%

34.3%

2-strike K%

30.5%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.421

7d K%

10.5%

7d Barrel%

6.3%

7d Whiff%

13.9%

14d xwOBA(con)

.371

14d K%

12.5%

14d Barrel%

7.7%

30d xwOBA(con)

.382

30d K%

19.8%

30d Barrel%

7.8%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.324

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.394

Behind xwOBA(con)

.355

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.372

Ahead Whiff%

18.1%

2-strike Whiff%

16.7%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.297

RISP

.383

Loaded

.200

High leverage

.335

Clutch

.352

Innings 1-3

.352

Innings 4-6

.369

Innings 7+

.344

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.