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MLB · AL East

Willson Contreras

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Boston Red Sox1BBats: R · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with plenty of swing-and-miss.

Prop hit rates

How often Willson Contreras has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    50%67%66%
  • Over 1.5
    20%23%26%
  • Over 2.5
    0%3%7%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    10%23%22%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    30%53%44%
  • Over 2.5▼ cold
    10%33%30%
  • Over 3.5▼ cold
    10%27%26%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.285↑

OBP

.391

SLG

.542

OPS

.933

HR

23

K%

25%

Last 10: 10-for-31 (.323) · 1 HR · 12 K · 8 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 420 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.476
97
Avg Exit V
90.7 mph
82
Barrel %
14.5%
93
Hard-Hit %
61.0%
96
Chase %
33.7%
30
Whiff %
29.8%
13
K %
25.0%
34
BB %
10.5%
75

Where he hits it

24%LF31%LCF12%CF16%RCF7%RF← Pull

52%

Pull

26%

Center

22%

Oppo

Pull-air 38% of BIP · 102.7 mph · 35° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.953OPS114 PA
vs RHP.926OPS306 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

5 pitches · this season · vs left-handed pitchers

PitchPA↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Four-seam35.240.360.40335.5%14.3%26.1%8.7%89.2 mph29.8°
Changeup30.357.893.48636.7%26.7%59.1%31.8%93.7 mph13.9°
Slider17.308.462.42131.6%23.5%40.0%20.0%83.4 mph19.0°
Sinker14.385.846.6243.6%7.1%66.7%16.7%98.2 mph22.8°
Cutter10.000.000.22222.2%10.0%42.9%0.0%84.5 mph38.4°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.382
xSLG
.736
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
114.4
EV90
108.8
Launch angle
18.2°
Sweet-spot%
36.5%
Avg distance
319 ft
EV on barrels
107.5
EV on hard-hit
103.2
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
67.1%
O-Contact%
48.5%
Z-Contact%
83.7%
Contact%
70.2%
SwStr%
14.4%
CSW%
28.8%
In-zone%
44.2%
1st-pitch swing%
38.7%
2-strike K%
44.3%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.420
7d K%
30.8%
7d Barrel%
12.5%
7d Whiff%
46.5%
14d xwOBA(con)
.420
14d K%
23.5%
14d Barrel%
13.0%
30d xwOBA(con)
.518
30d K%
22.1%
30d Barrel%
17.1%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.534
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.457
Behind xwOBA(con)
.453
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.443
Ahead Whiff%
27.2%
2-strike Whiff%
28.3%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.398
RISP
.500
Loaded
.175
High leverage
.390
Clutch
.514
Innings 1-3
.464
Innings 4-6
.487
Innings 7+
.479

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.