MLB · AL East

Wilyer Abreu

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Boston Red SoxOFBats: L · Throws: L

FormSteadyPowerAbove avg

The read

Elite power and contact quality.

Prop hit rates

How often Wilyer Abreu has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5
60%60%64%
Over 1.5
20%17%27%
Over 2.5
0%3%6%

Home runs

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 0.5▲ hot
30%20%14%

Total bases

share of games cleared

L10L30Season

Over 1.5
40%37%38%
Over 2.5
30%20%23%
Over 3.5▲ hot
30%20%16%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.250

OBP

.320

SLG

.454

OPS

.774

21%

Last 10: 10-for-39 (.256) · 5 HR · 9 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 484 PA.

Metric

Percentile

Value

Rank

xwOBA (con)

.408

Avg Exit V

89.7 mph

Barrel %

12.9%

Hard-Hit %

48.9%

Chase %

31.0%

Whiff %

21.3%

K %

20.7%

BB %

9.3%

Where he hits it

39%

Pull

29%

Center

32%

Oppo

Pull-air 24% of BIP · 97.3 mph · 32° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.942OPS153 PA

vs RHP.698OPS331 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type

All Four-seam Cutter Sinker Changeup Curveball Slider

Throws

Both Lefties Righties

Window

This season Last 30 days

Sort by

PA ↑BA SLG xwOBA Whiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%

Clear filters

2 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

Pitch	PA↑	BA	SLG	xwOBA	Whiff%	K%	Hard-hit%	Barrel%	Exit velo	Launch
Slider	81	.264	.459	.355	27.4%	22.2%	39.6%	14.6%	89.1 mph	23.8°
Four-seam	140	.219	.472	.318	22.6%	29.3%	48.4%	15.8%	91.9 mph	25.7°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date

Expectedestimators not shown above

xBA

.339

xSLG

.636

Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above

Max EV

113.1

EV90

105.7

Launch angle

18.8°

Sweet-spot%

37.8%

Avg distance

360 ft

EV on barrels

104.9

EV on hard-hit

101.9

Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles

Z-Swing%

69.1%

O-Contact%

65.0%

Z-Contact%

85.4%

Contact%

78.7%

SwStr%

10.5%

CSW%

25.6%

In-zone%

47.6%

1st-pitch swing%

26.7%

2-strike K%

39.7%

Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%

7d xwOBA(con)

.731

7d K%

18.5%

7d Barrel%

27.8%

7d Whiff%

24.5%

14d xwOBA(con)

.465

14d K%

24.5%

14d Barrel%

14.7%

30d xwOBA(con)

.502

30d K%

22.0%

30d Barrel%

19.4%

By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state

0-0 xwOBA(con)

.437

Ahead xwOBA(con)

.417

Behind xwOBA(con)

.404

2-strike xwOBA(con)

.388

Ahead Whiff%

17.0%

2-strike Whiff%

20.3%

By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning

Bases empty

.383

RISP

.310

Loaded

.230

High leverage

.349

Clutch

.413

Innings 1-3

.423

Innings 4-6

.388

Innings 7+

.412

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Wilyer Abreu OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox · Jun 16, 2026 · +145

LOSS

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