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MLB · AL East

Wilyer Abreu

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Boston Red SoxOFBats: L · Throws: L
FormSteadyPowerAbove avg

The read

Elite power and contact quality. Cooling off over the last ten.

Prop hit rates

How often Wilyer Abreu has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5▼ cold
    50%57%63%
  • Over 1.5▼ cold
    10%13%27%
  • Over 2.5
    0%3%6%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    20%17%14%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    30%33%38%
  • Over 2.5
    20%17%22%
  • Over 3.5
    20%17%16%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.247↓

OBP

.317

SLG

.445

OPS

.762

HR

19

K%

21%

Last 10: 8-for-40 (.200) · 4 HR · 11 K · 4 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 480 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.403
78
Avg Exit V
89.6 mph
71
Barrel %
12.7%
89
Hard-Hit %
47.9%
59
Chase %
31.2%
45
Whiff %
21.4%
59
K %
20.8%
59
BB %
9.2%
59

Where he hits it

12%LF21%LCF18%CF21%RCF21%RFPull →

39%

Pull

29%

Center

32%

Oppo

Pull-air 24% of BIP · 96.8 mph · 32° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.945OPS151 PA
vs RHP.680OPS329 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

4 pitches · this season · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↑BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Cutter44.264.415.35410.1%13.6%29.7%10.8%89.5 mph24.5°
Sinker72.317.475.40712.2%6.9%38.7%9.6%87.7 mph6.7°
Slider81.264.459.35527.4%22.2%39.6%14.6%89.1 mph23.8°
Four-seam139.221.476.31822.7%29.5%49.0%16.0%91.9 mph25.7°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.335
xSLG
.627
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
113.1
EV90
105.6
Launch angle
18.8°
Sweet-spot%
37.6%
Avg distance
359 ft
EV on barrels
104.8
EV on hard-hit
102.0
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
69.3%
O-Contact%
64.9%
Z-Contact%
85.4%
Contact%
78.6%
SwStr%
10.5%
CSW%
25.6%
In-zone%
47.6%
1st-pitch swing%
26.9%
2-strike K%
40.2%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.581
7d K%
25.0%
7d Barrel%
22.2%
7d Whiff%
26.9%
14d xwOBA(con)
.402
14d K%
26.3%
14d Barrel%
10.8%
30d xwOBA(con)
.480
30d K%
22.9%
30d Barrel%
18.8%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.437
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.405
Behind xwOBA(con)
.403
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.373
Ahead Whiff%
17.1%
2-strike Whiff%
20.5%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.373
RISP
.310
Loaded
.230
High leverage
.344
Clutch
.413
Innings 1-3
.409
Innings 4-6
.387
Innings 7+
.412

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Recent SkegBets picks

Wilyer Abreu OVER 1.5 Total Bases

Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox · Jun 16, 2026 · +145

LOSS

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