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MLB · AL West

Yordan Alvarez

Betting stats, Statcast splits, spray chart & prop matchups

Houston AstrosDHBats: L · Throws: R
FormSteadyPowerElite

The read

Elite power and contact quality, with a low-strikeout, contact-first approach.

Prop hit rates

How often Yordan Alvarez has cleared each prop line over his last 10 and 30 games and the season.

Hits

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    70%63%70%
  • Over 1.5▲ hot
    50%43%36%
  • Over 2.5
    10%13%11%

Home runs

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 0.5
    30%27%28%

Total bases

share of games cleared
L10L30Season
  • Over 1.5
    50%53%49%
  • Over 2.5
    30%37%38%
  • Over 3.5
    30%27%28%

Research any hitter with the prop-research tool.

At a glance

AVG

.308

OBP

.395

SLG

.610

OPS

1.004

HR

35

K%

17%

Last 10: 13-for-39 (.333) · 4 HR · 9 K · 5 BB · MLB avg .247 / .318 / .404

Power & contact quality

Percentile rank vs qualified MLB hitters this season. The dot is this player; further right is better on every metric. Based on 479 PA.

Metric
Percentile
Value
Rank
xwOBA (con)
.556
100
Avg Exit V
94.7 mph
99
Barrel %
18.4%
99
Hard-Hit %
60.0%
94
Chase %
27.4%
68
Whiff %
17.2%
83
K %
17.3%
79
BB %
11.5%
84

Where he hits it

13%LF16%LCF18%CF15%RCF29%RFPull →

44%

Pull

29%

Center

27%

Oppo

Pull-air 29% of BIP · 101.0 mph · 34° LA

Share of batted balls by field sector. The pull / center / oppo split and pull-side fly-ball power sit below the fan.

Matchups

vs LHP.857OPS123 PA
vs RHP1.057OPS356 PA

By pitch type. Filter by pitch, opposing hand, or recency. Green beats league average, red falls short.

Pitch type
AllFour-seamCutterSinkerChangeupCurveballSlider
Throws
BothLeftiesRighties
Window
This seasonLast 30 days
Sort by
PA ↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%
Clear filters

5 pitches · last 30 days · combined vs both hands

PitchPA↓BASLGxwOBAWhiff%K%Hard-hit%Barrel%Exit veloLaunch
Four-seam25.4281.143.73819.7%4.0%59.7%30.1%98.0 mph22.4°
Changeup21.265.317.26421.0%23.8%50.0%0.0%92.2 mph22.4°
Slider15.250.583.34639.2%46.7%66.7%16.7%99.9 mph30.0°
Cutter8.250.750.41912.5%12.5%50.0%12.5%93.7 mph21.4°
Curveball2.500.500.3210.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%80.8 mph31.5°

Full Statcast profile

Batted ball · discipline · situationalSeason-to-date
Expectedestimators not shown above
xBA
.427
xSLG
.901
Batted ballAvg EV / Barrel% / Hard-hit% shown above
Max EV
118.5
EV90
110.5
Launch angle
19.6°
Sweet-spot%
43.5%
Avg distance
368 ft
EV on barrels
107.8
EV on hard-hit
104.5
Plate disciplineChase% & Whiff% shown above as percentiles
Z-Swing%
61.9%
O-Contact%
66.9%
Z-Contact%
91.5%
Contact%
82.8%
SwStr%
7.1%
CSW%
23.1%
In-zone%
42.7%
1st-pitch swing%
33.0%
2-strike K%
35.3%
Rolling formxwOBA(con) / K% / BB% / Barrel% / Whiff%
7d xwOBA(con)
.554
7d K%
21.4%
7d Barrel%
7.7%
7d Whiff%
23.7%
14d xwOBA(con)
.582
14d K%
20.4%
14d Barrel%
15.6%
30d xwOBA(con)
.565
30d K%
18.0%
30d Barrel%
16.9%
By countxwOBA(con) / Whiff% by count state
0-0 xwOBA(con)
.568
Ahead xwOBA(con)
.510
Behind xwOBA(con)
.574
2-strike xwOBA(con)
.604
Ahead Whiff%
15.3%
2-strike Whiff%
17.9%
By situationxwOBA(con) by base state + leverage + inning
Bases empty
.440
RISP
.572
Loaded
.867
High leverage
.472
Clutch
.561
Innings 1-3
.588
Innings 4-6
.575
Innings 7+
.486

Statcast-derived from our v8 pitch corpus, refreshed daily. xwOBA (con) = xwOBA on balls in play. Percentages are share of the relevant opportunity.

Learn the betting side

How to bet on baseball: the complete MLB guide →Baseball's bets, from the run line to props, and the three things that move every number: pitching, the park, and the weather.How to read baseball stats for betting: OBP to xwOBA →A bettor's guide to baseball stats: what to read past the batting average and ERA, which numbers predict the future, and how Statcast measures it.MLB run line explained: baseball's 1.5-run spread →The run line is baseball's spread, fixed at 1.Betting MLB totals: pitchers, parks, and weather →An MLB over/under is set by three things: the starting pitchers, the ballpark, and the weather.